Nittany Lions vs Spartans

Gameday · TUE JAN 26

Penn StateVSMichigan StateAP #5

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip7:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Breslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

2% PSUMSU 98%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS3%

97%

Elo2%

98%

MSU +12.7

Proj. margin

161.0

Proj. total

72.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10J.ReedG · 0.3 APG16.0
• 5D.BowenG · 2.7 APG11.7
• 3I.JuricF · 12.7 RPG15.0
• 14T.Allard3.0 RPG5.3
• 22B.ByersF · 2.0 RPG7.7

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.8Adj. net rating+29.5

137thAdj. net rank11th

114.7Adj. offense122.7

111.9Adj. defense93.2

72.7Pace72.8

-2.3SRS15.2

1484Elo2150

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

90.0Points88.7

77.3Opp points64.3

52.7%eFG%58.9%

18.0%TO%18.0%

33.6%OREB%28.7%

.68FT rate.53

34%3PA rate38%

52%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Penn State

L76-82@ PITT

W97-93vs UTC

W97-57vs CAN

L66-76@ NU

L62-74@ RUTG

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MSU 76 · PSU 72Sat, 12/13

24-25PSU 85 · MSU 90Wed, 1/15

23-24MSU 80 · PSU 72Wed, 2/14

23-24PSU 61 · MSU 92Thu, 1/4

22-23MSU 67 · PSU 58Wed, 12/7

21-22MSU 58 · PSU 62Tue, 2/15

21-22PSU 64 · MSU 80Sat, 12/11

20-21PSU 58 · MSU 60Tue, 2/9

19-20MSU 79 · PSU 71Tue, 3/3

19-20PSU 75 · MSU 70Tue, 2/4

Game information

TipTuesday, Jan 26 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueBreslin Center · East Lansing, MI

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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