1912 Society

Mustangs vs Tar Heels

Gameday · TUE JAN 26
SMUVSNorth Carolina
Tip-off in
––Days
––Hrs
––Min
––Sec
Tip7:00 PM ET
WatchTBA
LineNot posted
Dean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC

Win probability

1912 blend
34% SMUUNC 66%
Adj. efficiency28%
72%
SRS32%
68%
Elo42%
58%
UNC +4.7
Proj. margin
166.3
Proj. total
74.3
Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG
  • 6O.SellersG · 1.7 APG14.0
  • 1J.ToombsC · 2.0 BPG12.3
  • J.SzumertNA · 5.3 RPG15.7
  • 7J.O'Neal Jr.F · 5.0 RPG14.3
  • 0R.BrumbaughG · 3.0 APG7.7
  • 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
  • 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
  • 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
  • 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
  • 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26
+18.6Adj. net rating+23.3
41stAdj. net rank27th
123.1Adj. offense121.7
104.6Adj. defense98.5
77.3Pace71.2
9.2SRS11.4
1901Elo1958
3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games
92.7Points88.3
68.3Opp points68.3
59.7%eFG%55.9%
22.0%TO%12.0%
26.3%OREB%26.3%
.57FT rate.44
40%3PA rate40%
78%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

SMU
W98-63vs PV
W95-70vs VMI
W85-72vs SOU
L79-89vs M-OH
L58-62@ LOU
North Carolina
W76-63vs WYO
W109-70vs WOF
W80-72vs WCU
L78-82vs VCU
L79-80vs CLEM

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27
25-26UNC 83 · SMU 97Sat, 1/3
24-25SMU 67 · UNC 82Tue, 1/7

Game information

TipTuesday, Jan 26 · 7:00 PM ET
VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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