Trojans vs Fighting Illini

Gameday · WED JAN 27

USCAP #21VSIllinoisAP #3

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip9:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

State Farm Center · Champaign, IL

Win probability

1912 blend

4% USCILL 96%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS6%

94%

Elo3%

97%

ILL +12.8

Proj. margin

169.9

Proj. total

76.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1R.RiceG · 7.0 APG21.7
• 0A.ArenasG · 1.3 APG23.3
• 5J.CofieF · 7.0 RPG5.7
• 3A.Ratliff6.3 RPG11.7
• 13D.Ratliff2.3 RPG7.0

• 2A.StojakovicG · 3.7 APG21.0
• 34E.Brown7.7 RPG10.0
• 11Q.Coleman6.0 RPG17.0
• 13T.IvisicC · 1.7 BPG8.7
• 1L.Williams5.5 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+10.8Adj. net rating+36.6

82ndAdj. net rank4th

113.8Adj. offense133.4

103.0Adj. defense96.8

73.7Pace78.3

3.3SRS17.2

1628Elo2262

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

88.3Points103.3

71.3Opp points66.3

52.5%eFG%64.1%

16.0%TO%18.0%

29.8%OREB%29.6%

.50FT rate.27

31%3PA rate52%

64%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

USC

W77-65@ CAL

W93-86@ WICH

W95-63vs MILW

L79-83@ WASH

L68-89vs UCLA

Illinois

L78-84@ TTU

W112-70vs PENN

W120-45vs FDU

L62-71@ CONN

W71-59vs IOWA

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26ILL 101 · USC 65Wed, 2/18

24-25USC 82 · ILL 72Sat, 1/11

Game information

TipWednesday, Jan 27 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueState Farm Center · Champaign, IL

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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