Falcons vs Lobos

Gameday · SAT JAN 30

Air ForceVSNew Mexico

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:30 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

The Pit · Albuquerque, NM

Win probability

1912 blend

14% AFAUNM 86%

Adj. efficiency10%

90%

SRS3%

97%

Elo29%

71%

UNM +8.5

Proj. margin

165.3

Proj. total

75.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33G.Best4.8 RPG18.5
• 3K.SandersG · 4.5 APG20.3
• 24L.HobinF · 4.5 RPG16.0
• 10C.WalkerF · 8.7 RPG12.0
• 15J.HindsG · 1.0 APG3.8

• 23J.HallG · 1.3 APG30.7
• 1U.TenetteG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 32T.FasasiG · 1.7 APG12.0
• 0H.MayesG · 2.7 APG13.7
• 8F.Grani5.3 RPG4.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2026-27

-3.9Adj. net rating+10.5

251stAdj. net rank30th

108.1Adj. offense113.5

112.1Adj. defense103.0

80.9Pace70.5

-2.9SRS14.7

1629Elo1782

3–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

93.5Points96.0

83.8Opp points64.7

47.2%eFG%60.1%

13.0%TO%10.0%

43.4%OREB%31.6%

.50FT rate.40

39%3PA rate44%

51%Assisted FG%61%

Last five games

Air Force

W107-93vs LUC

W89-82vs IDST

W107-58vs Calumet College

L71-102@ WRST

L45-80@ NEV

New Mexico

W94-69vs LR

W94-65vs NAU

W100-60vs UTU

L69-74vs TLSA

W84-69vs JOES

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26AFA 61 · UNM 98Tue, 2/17

25-26UNM 91 · AFA 49Sat, 1/10

24-25AFA 71 · UNM 92Sat, 3/1

24-25UNM 88 · AFA 53Sat, 2/8

23-24AFA 56 · UNM 82Wed, 3/13

23-24AFA 78 · UNM 77Sat, 2/24

23-24UNM 85 · AFA 66Sat, 1/20

22-23UNM 77 · AFA 89Fri, 2/10

22-23AFA 73 · UNM 81Fri, 1/27

21-22AFA 65 · UNM 69Sat, 2/26

Game information

TipSaturday, Jan 30 · 8:30 PM ET

VenueThe Pit · Albuquerque, NM

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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