Terrapins vs Spartans

Gameday · TUE FEB 2

MarylandVSMichigan StateAP #5

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip7:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Breslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

4% MDMSU 96%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS3%

97%

Elo5%

95%

MSU +12.4

Proj. margin

154.8

Proj. total

71.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 21P.PayneF · 7.0 RPG20.5
• 2D.WagnerG · 3.0 APG10.5
• 7A.MillsG · 1.0 APG15.5
• 20M.McNair Jr.G · 1.0 APG3.0
• 23T.BuljanF · 8.5 RPG7.0

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.2Adj. net rating+29.5

131stAdj. net rank11th

110.8Adj. offense122.7

107.6Adj. defense93.2

69.8Pace72.8

-1.9SRS15.2

1640Elo2150

1–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

85.0Points88.7

76.5Opp points64.3

48.1%eFG%58.9%

19.0%TO%18.0%

51.6%OREB%28.7%

.41FT rate.53

36%3PA rate38%

33%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Maryland

L74-86@ GTWN

W96-67vs BUCK

L64-75@ IOWA

W70-60@ ORE

L72-78vs ILL

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MD 48 · MSU 91Sat, 1/24

24-25MSU 58 · MD 55Wed, 2/26

23-24MD 54 · MSU 63Sat, 2/3

23-24MSU 61 · MD 59Sun, 1/21

22-23MD 58 · MSU 63Tue, 2/7

21-22MD 72 · MSU 76Thu, 3/10

21-22MD 67 · MSU 77Sun, 3/6

21-22MSU 65 · MD 63Tue, 2/1

20-21MSU 57 · MD 68Thu, 3/11

20-21MSU 55 · MD 73Sun, 2/28

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 2 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueBreslin Center · East Lansing, MI

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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