Golden Bears vs Mustangs

Gameday · WED FEB 3

CaliforniaVSSMU

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchCW

LineNot posted

Moody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

29% CALSMU 71%

Adj. efficiency23%

77%

SRS27%

73%

Elo36%

64%

SMU +5.5

Proj. margin

167.2

Proj. total

75.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 25N.IndrusaitisG · 2.0 APG17.3
• 2J.RossG · 6.0 APG10.5
• 21J.WilkinsF · 4.8 RPG8.8
• 17M.KocanasC · 0.0 BPG4.5
• 23S.YeanayF · 4.3 RPG11.8

• 6O.SellersG · 1.7 APG14.0
• 1J.ToombsC · 2.0 BPG12.3
• J.SzumertNA · 5.3 RPG15.7
• 7J.O'Neal Jr.F · 5.0 RPG14.3
• 0R.BrumbaughG · 3.0 APG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+11.9Adj. net rating+18.6

73rdAdj. net rank41st

114.2Adj. offense123.1

102.3Adj. defense104.6

73.3Pace77.3

5.5SRS9.2

1798Elo1901

2–2Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

83.0Points92.7

79.8Opp points68.3

55.4%eFG%59.7%

15.0%TO%22.0%

28.2%OREB%26.3%

.34FT rate.57

43%3PA rate40%

65%Assisted FG%78%

Last five games

California

L65-77vs USC

L68-86vs HOU

W84-70vs RAD

W115-86vs Adams State

L75-76vs JOES

SMU

W98-63vs PV

W95-70vs VMI

W85-72vs SOU

L79-89vs M-OH

L58-62@ LOU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26SMU 69 · CAL 73Wed, 2/25

24-25SMU 81 · CAL 77Wed, 2/26

24-25CAL 65 · SMU 76Wed, 1/29

Game information

TipWednesday, Feb 3 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueMoody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

WatchCW

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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