Mustangs vs Titans

Gameday · THU FEB 4

Cal PolyVSCal State Fullerton

Tip-off in

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Tip10:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Titan Gym · Fullerton, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

36% CPCSUF 64%

Adj. efficiency31%

69%

SRS32%

68%

Elo46%

54%

CSUF +4.3

Proj. margin

177.2

Proj. total

80.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 5J.WardG · 4.5 APG20.5
• 21M.Willenborg7.5 RPG17.0
• 7C.WilliamsG · 2.0 APG10.0
• 42T.Stynes2.0 RPG0.5
• 11M.Bell2.5 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating-1.6

220thAdj. net rank185th

109.0Adj. offense108.5

113.9Adj. defense110.1

80.0Pace80.5

-3.6SRS-1.5

1655Elo1683

1–2Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

77.7Points82.5

88.3Opp points93.5

52.4%eFG%50.7%

26.0%TO%14.0%

30.6%OREB%27.0%

.34FT rate.28

52%3PA rate48%

53%Assisted FG%53%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

Cal State Fullerton

W87-85@ SDAK

L78-102@ SDSU

L63-78@ HAW

W82-70vs UCD

W90-77@ CSUN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26CSUF 93 · CP 78Sat, 1/24

25-26CP 94 · CSUF 91Thu, 12/4

24-25CSUF 61 · CP 100Thu, 3/6

24-25CP 98 · CSUF 83Thu, 2/13

23-24CP 50 · CSUF 68Thu, 2/22

23-24CSUF 54 · CP 51Thu, 1/25

22-23CP 62 · CSUF 83Sat, 2/18

22-23CSUF 65 · CP 36Sat, 1/28

21-22CP 50 · CSUF 61Thu, 2/3

20-21CP 87 · CSUF 82Tue, 3/9

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 4 · 10:00 PM ET

VenueTitan Gym · Fullerton, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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