Hornets vs Lancers

Gameday · THU FEB 4

Sacramento StateVSCalifornia Baptist

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip10:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · Riverside, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

11% SACCBU 89%

Adj. efficiency10%

90%

SRS11%

89%

Elo13%

87%

CBU +8.7

Proj. margin

161.5

Proj. total

75.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0L.Hughes IIG · 2.0 APG18.0
• 1M.WilliamsG · 4.5 APG15.5
• 12O.GradyF · 8.0 RPG10.0
• 10M.WilsonG · 2.5 APG10.5
• 22S.CianiF · 1.0 RPG3.5

• 1T.Coner Jr.3.0 RPG14.0
• 7E.DuncanG · 0.7 APG4.7
• 11J.MullerG · 2.7 APG9.7
• 6R.D'AmelioF · 5.0 RPG9.3
• 22A.Safin3.0 RPG4.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-9.2Adj. net rating+5.9

268thAdj. net rank106th

104.9Adj. offense107.4

114.1Adj. defense101.5

84.0Pace67.0

-6.8SRS3.6

1562Elo1895

1–1Record0–3

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

83.5Points64.3

78.5Opp points82.7

50.9%eFG%46.1%

20.0%TO%19.0%

16.7%OREB%31.7%

.67FT rate.34

46%3PA rate47%

63%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Sacramento State

L77-83@ SCU

W90-74vs Jessup University

L45-68@ IDHO

W83-65vs IDST

L61-82@ MTST

California Baptist

L62-81vs CHST

L68-96@ ORST

L63-71vs UNF

L60-68@ KU

W63-61@ UVU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26SAC 67 · CBU 74Sat, 12/20

20-21SAC 70 · CBU 69Sun, 2/14

20-21SAC 71 · CBU 83Sat, 2/13

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 4 · 10:00 PM ET

VenueDale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · Riverside, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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