Fighting Illini vs Spartans

Gameday · FRI FEB 5

IllinoisAP #3VSMichigan StateAP #5

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Breslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

57% ILLMSU 43%

Adj. efficiency59%

41%

SRS46%

54%

Elo66%

34%

ILL +0.3

Proj. margin

168.5

Proj. total

75.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2A.StojakovicG · 3.7 APG21.0
• 34E.Brown7.7 RPG10.0
• 11Q.Coleman6.0 RPG17.0
• 13T.IvisicC · 1.7 BPG8.7
• 1L.Williams5.5 RPG10.0

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+36.6Adj. net rating+29.5

4thAdj. net rank11th

133.4Adj. offense122.7

96.8Adj. defense93.2

78.3Pace72.8

17.2SRS15.2

2262Elo2150

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

103.3Points88.7

66.3Opp points64.3

64.1%eFG%58.9%

18.0%TO%18.0%

29.6%OREB%28.7%

.27FT rate.53

52%3PA rate38%

55%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Illinois

L78-84@ TTU

W112-70vs PENN

W120-45vs FDU

L62-71@ CONN

W71-59vs IOWA

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ILL 82 · MSU 85Sat, 2/7

24-25MSU 79 · ILL 65Sat, 2/15

24-25ILL 78 · MSU 80Sun, 1/19

23-24ILL 80 · MSU 88Sat, 2/10

23-24MSU 68 · ILL 71Thu, 1/11

22-23MSU 66 · ILL 75Fri, 1/13

21-22ILL 79 · MSU 74Sat, 2/19

21-22MSU 55 · ILL 56Tue, 1/25

20-21ILL 72 · MSU 81Tue, 2/23

19-20MSU 70 · ILL 69Tue, 2/11

Game information

TipFriday, Feb 5 · time TBD

VenueBreslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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