Falcons vs Aggies

Gameday · SAT FEB 6

Air ForceVSUC Davis

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

University Credit Union Center · Davis, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

4% AFAUCD 96%

Adj. efficiency4%

96%

SRS5%

95%

Elo5%

95%

UCD +11.3

Proj. margin

165.0

Proj. total

77.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33G.Best4.8 RPG18.5
• 3K.SandersG · 4.5 APG20.3
• 24L.HobinF · 4.5 RPG16.0
• 10C.WalkerF · 8.7 RPG12.0
• 15J.HindsG · 1.0 APG3.8

• 0B.FagbemiG · 7.0 APG13.0
• 4C.SevillaG · 1.3 APG12.7
• 20I.ChappellF · 4.3 RPG8.7
• 2J.StokesG · 0.3 APG12.0
• 21O.SuljanovicF · 5.7 RPG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-21.9Adj. net rating-0.4

348thAdj. net rank170th

94.5Adj. offense107.7

116.4Adj. defense108.1

80.9Pace73.8

-16.2SRS-0.7

1174Elo1682

3–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

93.5Points73.7

83.8Opp points66.7

47.2%eFG%47.6%

13.0%TO%21.0%

43.4%OREB%27.6%

.50FT rate.52

39%3PA rate41%

51%Assisted FG%62%

Last five games

Air Force

W107-93vs LUC

W89-82vs IDST

W107-58vs Calumet College

L71-102@ WRST

L45-80@ NEV

UC Davis

W81-69vs UIW

W65-52vs Menlo

L75-79vs UNA

L70-82@ CSUF

W79-73vs UCSB

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 6 · time TBD

VenueUniversity Credit Union Center · Davis, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.