Cougars vs Wildcats

Gameday · SAT FEB 6

HoustonAP #8VSArizonaAP #12

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchESPN

LineNot posted

McKale Memorial Center · Tucson, AZ

Win probability

1912 blend

33% HOUARIZ 67%

Adj. efficiency31%

69%

SRS26%

74%

Elo42%

58%

ARIZ +4.2

Proj. margin

153.2

Proj. total

71.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 9D.Thomas Jr.G · 6.7 APG17.7
• 25M.MillerG · 3.7 APG9.3
• 23D.GillespieF · 6.3 RPG11.0
• 11J.TuglerF · 5.7 RPG9.7
• 24C.McCartyF · 5.0 RPG9.0

• 8I.KharchenkovF · 9.0 RPG24.7
• 7D.DixonG · 2.7 APG13.0
• 13M.KrivasC · 2.7 BPG18.0
• 3C.Holt6.7 RPG15.0
• 6B.JamesG · 1.7 APG2.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+34.4Adj. net rating+37.9

6thAdj. net rank3rd

123.6Adj. offense126.7

89.2Adj. defense88.9

70.0Pace73.0

17.3SRS21.4

2281Elo2338

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

90.7Points89.7

56.3Opp points75.7

58.4%eFG%56.2%

15.0%TO%14.0%

28.9%OREB%29.4%

.45FT rate.42

29%3PA rate37%

59%Assisted FG%64%

Last five games

Houston

W92-46vs JVST

W86-68@ CAL

W94-55vs LAS

L55-65vs ILL

W88-57vs TA&M

Arizona

W90-59vs NAU

W104-84vs CP

L75-84vs UCLA

L73-91vs MICH

W79-64vs PUR

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26HOU 74 · ARIZ 79Sat, 3/14

25-26ARIZ 73 · HOU 66Sat, 2/21

24-25ARIZ 64 · HOU 72Sat, 3/15

24-25HOU 62 · ARIZ 58Sat, 2/15

21-22HOU 72 · ARIZ 60Thu, 3/24

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 6 · time TBD

VenueMcKale Memorial Center · Tucson, AZ

WatchESPN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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