Knights vs Bears
Win probability
1912 blend35% UCFBAY 65%
BAY +4.2
Proj. margin
160.0
Proj. total
70.3
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
1G · 4.3 APG31.0
7F · 4.3 RPG4.0
32F · 5.0 RPG4.7- G · 1.3 APG5.0
2G · 3.3 APG10.3
2G · 1.3 APG14.3
4G · 2.3 APG15.0
55.7 RPG15.0
03.0 RPG9.7
21F · 3.3 RPG0.7
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+14.1Adj. net rating+17.5
58thAdj. net rank46th
120.0Adj. offense123.3
105.9Adj. defense105.9
65.6Pace75.0
5.8SRS6.4
1799Elo1897
3–0Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games86.3Points95.3
79.7Opp points59.7
56.6%eFG%55.3%
10.0%TO%15.0%
31.6%OREB%39.2%
.42FT rate.49
44%3PA rate41%
52%Assisted FG%56%
Last five games
UCF
W76-69vs USA
W87-75vs YALE
W96-95vs FGCU
L71-75@ UCLA
L59-81@ ARIZ
Baylor
W90-61vs YALE
W109-53vs UAPB
W87-65vs NWST
L69-82vs OU
W67-48@ MINN
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26BAY 87 · UCF 86Sat, 2/28
24-25UCF 76 · BAY 91Sat, 2/8
23-24BAY 77 · UCF 69Wed, 1/31
Game information
TipSaturday, Feb 6 · 5:30 PM ET
VenueFoster Pavilion · Waco, TX
WatchTNT
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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