Blue Devils vs Cavaliers

Gameday · SAT FEB 6

DukeAP #2VSVirginiaAP #6

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchESPN

LineNot posted

John Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

Win probability

1912 blend

73% DUKEUVA 27%

Adj. efficiency74%

26%

SRS65%

35%

Elo80%

20%

DUKE +2.0

Proj. margin

159.8

Proj. total

73.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 13J.BlackwellG · 1.0 APG11.7
• 21P.Ngongba IIC · 2.0 BPG16.3
• 7D.SarrG · 2.3 APG11.3
• 2C.BoozerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 30J.Boumtje5.3 RPG9.7

• 5S.LewisG · 2.3 APG15.0
• 17J.GrunlohC · 2.8 BPG13.0
• 1C.MalloryG · 5.0 APG14.8
• 28T.RidderF · 8.3 RPG17.8
• 22N.Adekunle3.0 RPG8.8

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+40.4Adj. net rating+26.8

2ndAdj. net rank18th

129.2Adj. offense123.3

88.7Adj. defense96.5

73.5Pace72.5

21.1SRS13.8

2349Elo2107

2–1Record4–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

90.0Points93.0

60.3Opp points66.3

54.1%eFG%58.1%

18.0%TO%17.0%

35.4%OREB%38.6%

.57FT rate.28

40%3PA rate47%

64%Assisted FG%67%

Last five games

Duke

L73-79vs MSU

W113-52vs CCU

W84-50vs ARMY

L72-73vs CONN

W80-75vs SJU

Virginia

W95-61vs BUCK

W91-72vs ARK

W97-72vs NE

W89-60vs DREX

L72-79vs TENN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UVA 70 · DUKE 74Sat, 3/14

25-26UVA 51 · DUKE 77Sat, 2/28

24-25DUKE 80 · UVA 62Mon, 2/17

23-24UVA 48 · DUKE 73Sat, 3/2

22-23DUKE 59 · UVA 49Sat, 3/11

22-23DUKE 62 · UVA 69Sat, 2/11

21-22DUKE 65 · UVA 61Wed, 2/23

21-22UVA 69 · DUKE 68Mon, 2/7

20-21UVA 65 · DUKE 66Sat, 2/20

19-20DUKE 50 · UVA 52Sat, 2/29

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 6 · time TBD

VenueJohn Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

WatchESPN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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