Mustangs vs Beach

Gameday · SAT FEB 6

Cal PolyVSLong Beach State

Tip-off in

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Tip9:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Walter Pyramid · Long Beach, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

51% CPLBSU 49%

Adj. efficiency45%

55%

SRS48%

52%

Elo60%

40%

CP +2.2

Proj. margin

160.3

Proj. total

73.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 7J.PayneG · 2.7 APG11.7
• 4M.AdamsG · 1.3 APG15.0
• 3Y.SissokoG · 1.7 APG13.7
• 33M.Vanlaningham4.3 RPG3.0
• 25J.Gray0.7 RPG3.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating-7.1

220thAdj. net rank243rd

109.0Adj. offense104.6

113.9Adj. defense111.7

80.0Pace66.0

-3.6SRS-6.1

1655Elo1586

1–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

77.7Points65.0

88.3Opp points69.3

52.4%eFG%48.0%

26.0%TO%16.0%

30.6%OREB%20.3%

.34FT rate.53

52%3PA rate40%

53%Assisted FG%47%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

Long Beach State

W62-59vs PAC

L70-83@ MTST

L63-66@ UTAH

W84-75@ HAW

L70-76vs UCD

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26LBSU 92 · CP 102Thu, 2/26

25-26CP 66 · LBSU 74Sat, 1/3

24-25CP 83 · LBSU 69Sat, 3/8

24-25LBSU 69 · CP 78Sat, 1/25

23-24CP 68 · LBSU 77Sat, 2/10

23-24LBSU 89 · CP 82Thu, 1/4

22-23CP 88 · LBSU 68Tue, 3/7

22-23LBSU 70 · CP 52Thu, 1/26

22-23CP 58 · LBSU 77Thu, 1/12

21-22CP 65 · LBSU 78Sat, 2/5

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 6 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueWalter Pyramid · Long Beach, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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