Fighting Illini vs Wolverines

Gameday · TUE FEB 9

IllinoisAP #3VSMichiganAP #20

Tip-off in

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchPeacock

LineNot posted

Crisler Center · Ann Arbor, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

24% ILLMICH 76%

Adj. efficiency26%

74%

SRS22%

78%

Elo24%

76%

MICH +5.0

Proj. margin

169.2

Proj. total

75.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 2A.StojakovicG · 3.7 APG21.0
• 34E.Brown7.7 RPG10.0
• 11Q.Coleman6.0 RPG17.0
• 13T.IvisicC · 1.7 BPG8.7
• 1L.Williams5.5 RPG10.0

• 1T.McKenneyG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 3E.CadeauG · 6.3 APG10.7
• 13J.EstrellaF · 9.7 RPG17.3
• 11R.Gayle Jr.G · 1.7 APG14.0
• 52M.ThiamC · 1.5 BPG5.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+36.6Adj. net rating+41.9

4thAdj. net rank1st

133.4Adj. offense130.6

96.8Adj. defense88.8

78.3Pace72.2

17.2SRS22.6

2262Elo2464

2–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

103.3Points81.7

66.3Opp points74.3

64.1%eFG%51.8%

18.0%TO%18.0%

29.6%OREB%31.1%

.27FT rate.30

52%3PA rate45%

55%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Illinois

L78-84@ TTU

W112-70vs PENN

W120-45vs FDU

L62-71@ CONN

W71-59vs IOWA

Michigan

W84-70vs MARQ

L77-85@ CONN

W84-68vs OAK

W69-63vs CONN

W91-73@ ARIZ

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MICH 84 · ILL 70Fri, 2/27

24-25ILL 93 · MICH 73Sun, 3/2

23-24MICH 68 · ILL 97Tue, 2/13

23-24ILL 88 · MICH 73Thu, 1/18

22-23MICH 87 · ILL 91Thu, 3/2

21-22ILL 93 · MICH 85Sun, 2/27

21-22MICH 53 · ILL 68Fri, 1/14

20-21ILL 76 · MICH 53Tue, 3/2

19-20ILL 64 · MICH 62Sat, 1/25

19-20MICH 62 · ILL 71Wed, 12/11

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 9 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueCrisler Center · Ann Arbor, MI

WatchPeacock

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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