Blue Devils vs Mustangs
Win probability
1912 blend87% DUKESMU 13%
DUKE +5.3
Proj. margin
168.0
Proj. total
75.4
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
13G · 1.0 APG11.7
21C · 2.0 BPG16.3
7G · 2.3 APG11.3
2G · 5.7 APG8.7
305.3 RPG9.7
6G · 1.7 APG14.0
1C · 2.0 BPG12.3
NA · 5.3 RPG15.7
7F · 5.0 RPG14.3
0G · 3.0 APG7.7
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+40.4Adj. net rating+18.6
2ndAdj. net rank41st
129.2Adj. offense123.1
88.7Adj. defense104.6
73.5Pace77.3
21.1SRS9.2
2349Elo1901
2–1Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games90.0Points92.7
60.3Opp points68.3
54.1%eFG%59.7%
18.0%TO%22.0%
35.4%OREB%26.3%
.57FT rate.57
40%3PA rate40%
64%Assisted FG%78%
Last five games
Duke
L73-79vs MSU
W113-52vs CCU
W84-50vs ARMY
L72-73vs CONN
W80-75vs SJU
SMU
W98-63vs PV
W95-70vs VMI
W85-72vs SOU
L79-89vs M-OH
L58-62@ LOU
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26SMU 75 · DUKE 82Sat, 1/10
24-25DUKE 89 · SMU 62Sat, 1/4
Game information
TipTuesday, Feb 9 · 9:00 PM ET
VenueMoody Coliseum · Dallas, TX
WatchESPN
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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