Scarlet Knights vs Spartans

Gameday · WED FEB 10

RutgersVSMichigan StateAP #5

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip6:30 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Breslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

4% RUTGMSU 96%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS4%

96%

Elo5%

95%

MSU +12.7

Proj. margin

155.0

Proj. total

71.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0T.FrancisG · 4.0 APG15.5
• 5D.Buchanan Jr.F · 4.0 RPG7.5
• 2L.MarkG · 2.5 APG10.5
• 4D.Smith Jr.F · 5.0 RPG9.0
• 32C.GurdakC · 1.0 BPG12.0

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.6Adj. net rating+29.5

139thAdj. net rank11th

109.9Adj. offense122.7

107.4Adj. defense93.2

70.3Pace72.8

-1.6SRS15.2

1641Elo2150

2–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

91.0Points88.7

59.0Opp points64.3

57.9%eFG%58.9%

13.0%TO%18.0%

30.1%OREB%28.7%

.49FT rate.53

37%3PA rate38%

52%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Rutgers

W101-64vs NJIT

W81-54vs NHVN

L69-82@ CREI

L59-72@ UCLA

W72-67@ MINN

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26RUTG 87 · MSU 91Thu, 3/5

25-26MSU 88 · RUTG 79Tue, 1/27

24-25MSU 81 · RUTG 74Sat, 1/25

23-24RUTG 55 · MSU 73Sun, 1/14

22-23MSU 55 · RUTG 61Sat, 2/4

22-23RUTG 57 · MSU 70Thu, 1/19

21-22MSU 63 · RUTG 84Sat, 2/5

20-21MSU 37 · RUTG 67Thu, 1/28

20-21RUTG 45 · MSU 68Tue, 1/5

19-20RUTG 65 · MSU 77Sun, 12/8

Game information

TipWednesday, Feb 10 · 6:30 PM ET

VenueBreslin Center · East Lansing, MI

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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