Racers vs Redbirds

Gameday · FRI FEB 12

Murray StateVSIllinois State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

CEFCU Arena · Normal, IL

Win probability

1912 blend

30% MURILST 70%

Adj. efficiency29%

71%

SRS31%

69%

Elo28%

72%

ILST +4.5

Proj. margin

154.8

Proj. total

70.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 77R.DomonG · 3.3 APG22.7
• 11B.RogersF · 8.3 RPG6.7
• 34B.ShorterG · 0.0 APG20.3
• 8T.Soulhac2.3 RPG7.3
• 14L.CrateG · 0.7 APG3.7

• 11J.KinzigerG · 3.7 APG19.3
• 3M.KlaboG · 3.3 APG7.7
• 5D.BurchG · 1.0 APG8.0
• 0N.Cleveland4.7 RPG6.7
• 9M.Messina-MooreG · 3.0 APG15.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+5.1Adj. net rating+9.3

115thAdj. net rank89th

115.9Adj. offense111.3

110.8Adj. defense102.0

77.3Pace63.4

2.1SRS4.4

1680Elo1840

3–0Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

93.7Points81.3

64.0Opp points73.7

58.2%eFG%63.1%

18.0%TO%19.0%

34.4%OREB%29.4%

.46FT rate.39

48%3PA rate51%

61%Assisted FG%68%

Last five games

Murray State

W94-57vs ALCN

W93-71vs NWST

W94-64@ TNST

L75-89@ NEV

L79-92vs UIC

Illinois State

L59-76@ PUR

W100-55vs Central State (OH)

L85-90@ SMC

L66-88@ AUB

W61-55@ DAY

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26MUR 61 · ILST 78Wed, 2/18

25-26ILST 70 · MUR 65Wed, 1/28

24-25ILST 74 · MUR 68Thu, 1/2

23-24ILST 61 · MUR 59Tue, 1/30

23-24MUR 72 · ILST 76Sun, 12/3

22-23MUR 76 · ILST 75Wed, 2/15

22-23ILST 67 · MUR 70Thu, 12/1

21-22MUR 77 · ILST 65Tue, 11/16

20-21ILST 65 · MUR 76Sat, 12/5

17-18MUR 78 · ILST 72Sat, 12/9

Game information

TipFriday, Feb 12 · time TBD

VenueCEFCU Arena · Normal, IL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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