Cardinals vs Cavaliers

Gameday · MON FEB 15

LouisvilleAP #10VSVirginiaAP #6

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchESPN

LineNot posted

John Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

Win probability

1912 blend

40% LOUUVA 60%

Adj. efficiency41%

59%

SRS38%

62%

Elo42%

58%

UVA +2.8

Proj. margin

158.4

Proj. total

71.9

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3J.ShelstadG · 4.0 APG10.5
• 7A.FolgueirasF · 4.5 RPG10.0
• 14A.WooleyG · 3.5 APG13.5
• 5S.TrimbleG · 3.5 APG12.0
• 40F.BidungaF · 8.0 RPG13.0

• 5S.LewisG · 2.3 APG15.0
• 17J.GrunlohC · 2.8 BPG13.0
• 1C.MalloryG · 5.0 APG14.8
• 28T.RidderF · 8.3 RPG17.8
• 22N.Adekunle3.0 RPG8.8

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+27.4Adj. net rating+26.8

17thAdj. net rank18th

124.1Adj. offense123.3

96.7Adj. defense96.5

71.3Pace72.5

13.3SRS13.8

2054Elo2107

2–0Record4–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

95.5Points93.0

63.5Opp points66.3

56.9%eFG%58.1%

12.0%TO%17.0%

37.6%OREB%38.6%

.39FT rate.28

53%3PA rate47%

57%Assisted FG%67%

Last five games

Louisville

W107-57vs MORE

W84-70vs UTC

L69-77@ MSU

W83-79vs USF

L73-78@ MIA

Virginia

W95-61vs BUCK

W91-72vs ARK

W97-72vs NE

W89-60vs DREX

L72-79vs TENN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UVA 79 · LOU 70Tue, 1/13

24-25UVA 67 · LOU 81Sat, 1/18

24-25LOU 70 · UVA 50Sat, 1/4

23-24UVA 69 · LOU 52Sat, 1/27

23-24LOU 53 · UVA 77Wed, 1/3

22-23LOU 60 · UVA 75Sat, 3/4

22-23UVA 61 · LOU 58Wed, 2/15

21-22LOU 50 · UVA 51Wed, 3/9

21-22UVA 71 · LOU 61Sat, 3/5

21-22LOU 52 · UVA 64Mon, 1/24

Game information

TipMonday, Feb 15 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueJohn Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

WatchESPN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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