Wolverines vs Golden Gophers

Gameday · TUE FEB 16

MichiganAP #20VSMinnesota

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchFS1

LineNot posted

Williams Arena · Minneapolis, MN

Win probability

1912 blend

96% MICHMINN 4%

Adj. efficiency95%

5%

SRS93%

7%

Elo99%

1%

MICH +7.5

Proj. margin

149.6

Proj. total

69.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.McKenneyG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 3E.CadeauG · 6.3 APG10.7
• 13J.EstrellaF · 9.7 RPG17.3
• 11R.Gayle Jr.G · 1.7 APG14.0
• 52M.ThiamC · 1.5 BPG5.5

• 1I.AsumaG · 3.3 APG14.3
• 3B.DurkinF · 4.0 RPG8.7
• 0K.EvansG · 4.3 APG12.7
• 5J.Crocker-JohnsonF · 6.0 RPG14.0
• 2G.GroveF · 4.3 RPG9.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+41.9Adj. net rating+11.2

1stAdj. net rank77th

130.6Adj. offense112.7

88.8Adj. defense101.4

72.2Pace65.8

22.6SRS3.1

2464Elo1722

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

81.7Points74.7

74.3Opp points57.7

51.8%eFG%53.7%

18.0%TO%19.0%

31.1%OREB%29.3%

.30FT rate.26

45%3PA rate48%

57%Assisted FG%74%

Last five games

Michigan

W84-70vs MARQ

L77-85@ CONN

W84-68vs OAK

W69-63vs CONN

W91-73@ ARIZ

Minnesota

W63-61@ CIN

W76-62vs STMN

W85-50vs UND

L48-67vs BAY

L67-72vs RUTG

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MINN 67 · MICH 77Tue, 2/24

24-25MICH 81 · MINN 84Thu, 1/16

23-24MINN 73 · MICH 71Thu, 1/4

22-23MINN 56 · MICH 60Sun, 1/22

22-23MICH 90 · MINN 75Thu, 12/8

21-22MINN 75 · MICH 65Sat, 12/11

20-21MICH 57 · MINN 75Sat, 1/16

20-21MINN 57 · MICH 82Wed, 1/6

19-20MICH 67 · MINN 75Sun, 1/12

18-19MINN 49 · MICH 76Sat, 3/16

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 16 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueWilliams Arena · Minneapolis, MN

WatchFS1

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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