Spartans vs Hawkeyes

Gameday · TUE FEB 16

Michigan StateAP #5VSIowa

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip9:00 PM ET

WatchPeacock

LineNot posted

Carver-Hawkeye Arena · Iowa City, IA

Win probability

1912 blend

59% MSUIOWA 41%

Adj. efficiency48%

52%

SRS56%

44%

Elo72%

28%

MSU +1.8

Proj. margin

127.5

Proj. total

57.9

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

• 8C.KochF · 5.0 RPG13.7
• 23I.HowardG · 0.0 APG7.3
• 24T.SageG · 0.7 APG9.3
• 11K.CombsG · 3.7 APG6.3
• 3C.ManyawuF · 3.3 RPG5.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+29.5Adj. net rating+25.3

11thAdj. net rank21st

122.7Adj. offense124.9

93.2Adj. defense99.6

72.8Pace43.0

15.2SRS10.4

2150Elo1986

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

88.7Points85.0

64.3Opp points64.7

58.9%eFG%61.0%

18.0%TO%27.0%

28.7%OREB%34.2%

.53FT rate.56

38%3PA rate44%

63%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Iowa

L88-93vs VT

W91-47vs EIU

W76-54vs LIP

L59-71@ ILL

W77-71@ NEB

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26IOWA 52 · MSU 71Tue, 12/2

24-25MSU 91 · IOWA 84Thu, 3/6

23-24IOWA 78 · MSU 71Tue, 2/20

22-23MSU 106 · IOWA 112Sat, 2/25

22-23IOWA 61 · MSU 63Thu, 1/26

21-22MSU 60 · IOWA 86Tue, 2/22

20-21IOWA 88 · MSU 58Sat, 2/13

20-21MSU 78 · IOWA 84Tue, 2/2

19-20IOWA 70 · MSU 78Tue, 2/25

18-19MSU 82 · IOWA 67Thu, 1/24

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 16 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueCarver-Hawkeye Arena · Iowa City, IA

WatchPeacock

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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