Wildcats vs Fighting Illini

Gameday · TUE FEB 16

NorthwesternVSIllinoisAP #3

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip9:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

State Farm Center · Champaign, IL

Win probability

1912 blend

6% NUILL 94%

Adj. efficiency4%

96%

SRS7%

93%

Elo7%

93%

ILL +11.1

Proj. margin

159.8

Proj. total

70.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 44A.CiaravinoG · 1.7 APG11.7
• 4L.PrattG · 2.3 APG18.3
• 3J.WestG · 8.7 APG21.3
• 8O.FederikoF · 3.3 RPG3.3
• 7C.SmithF · 1.0 RPG3.0

• 2A.StojakovicG · 3.7 APG21.0
• 34E.Brown7.7 RPG10.0
• 11Q.Coleman6.0 RPG17.0
• 13T.IvisicC · 1.7 BPG8.7
• 1L.Williams5.5 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+13.7Adj. net rating+36.6

60thAdj. net rank4th

117.6Adj. offense133.4

103.9Adj. defense96.8

63.2Pace78.3

4.1SRS17.2

1809Elo2262

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

78.7Points103.3

60.0Opp points66.3

57.8%eFG%64.1%

13.0%TO%18.0%

28.6%OREB%29.6%

.35FT rate.27

48%3PA rate52%

64%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Northwestern

W72-55vs BU

W78-65vs STBK

W86-60vs BING

L68-81@ PUR

W74-61@ IU

Illinois

L78-84@ TTU

W112-70vs PENN

W120-45vs FDU

L62-71@ CONN

W71-59vs IOWA

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26NU 44 · ILL 84Wed, 2/4

25-26ILL 79 · NU 68Wed, 1/14

24-25NU 74 · ILL 83Sun, 1/26

24-25ILL 66 · NU 70Fri, 12/6

23-24ILL 91 · NU 96Wed, 1/24

23-24NU 66 · ILL 96Tue, 1/2

22-23NU 62 · ILL 66Thu, 2/23

22-23ILL 60 · NU 73Wed, 1/4

21-22NU 66 · ILL 73Sun, 2/13

21-22ILL 59 · NU 56Sat, 1/29

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 16 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueState Farm Center · Champaign, IL

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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