Seminoles vs Blue Devils

Gameday · TUE FEB 16

Florida StateVSDukeAP #2

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Cameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC

Win probability

1912 blend

4% FSUDUKE 96%

Adj. efficiency2%

98%

SRS5%

95%

Elo5%

95%

DUKE +13.1

Proj. margin

161.7

Proj. total

73.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 22S.RancikF · 4.0 RPG22.0
• 1S.AbaevG · 4.3 APG12.0
• 2A.Robinson IIG · 3.3 APG13.7
• 3K.TaylorG · 2.3 APG13.3
• 11M.Ponder8.0 RPG9.7

• 13J.BlackwellG · 1.0 APG11.7
• 21P.Ngongba IIC · 2.0 BPG16.3
• 7D.SarrG · 2.3 APG11.3
• 2C.BoozerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 30J.Boumtje5.3 RPG9.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+12.9Adj. net rating+40.4

67thAdj. net rank2nd

118.0Adj. offense129.2

105.1Adj. defense88.7

73.2Pace73.5

5.8SRS21.1

1851Elo2349

2–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

91.7Points90.0

72.7Opp points60.3

52.6%eFG%54.1%

14.0%TO%18.0%

34.4%OREB%35.4%

.48FT rate.57

38%3PA rate40%

45%Assisted FG%64%

Last five games

Florida State

L72-81vs FLA

W91-68vs TROY

W112-69vs FAMU

L79-80@ DUKE

W95-89vs CAL

Duke

L73-79vs MSU

W113-52vs CCU

W84-50vs ARMY

L72-73vs CONN

W80-75vs SJU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26FSU 79 · DUKE 80Thu, 3/12

25-26DUKE 91 · FSU 87Sat, 1/3

24-25FSU 65 · DUKE 100Sat, 3/1

23-24DUKE 76 · FSU 67Sat, 2/17

22-23FSU 67 · DUKE 86Sat, 12/31

21-22FSU 70 · DUKE 88Sat, 2/19

21-22DUKE 78 · FSU 79Tue, 1/18

19-20FSU 65 · DUKE 70Mon, 2/10

18-19FSU 63 · DUKE 73Sat, 3/16

18-19DUKE 80 · FSU 78Sat, 1/12

Game information

TipTuesday, Feb 16 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueCameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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