Mustangs vs Roadrunners

Gameday · THU FEB 18

Cal PolyVSCal State Bakersfield

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Icardo Center · Bakersfield, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

77% CPCSUB 23%

Adj. efficiency71%

29%

SRS71%

29%

Elo90%

10%

CP +1.4

Proj. margin

168.9

Proj. total

76.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 25J.AlexanderG · 0.0 APG22.0
• 30T.Koppens6.0 RPG7.7
• 5K.BradleyG · 7.0 APG20.0
• 12B.CofieldG · 2.7 APG12.7
• 44P.Ivancic5.0 RPG12.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating-16.5

220thAdj. net rank326th

109.0Adj. offense100.8

113.9Adj. defense117.3

80.0Pace73.2

-3.6SRS-12.6

1655Elo1282

1–2Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

77.7Points91.7

88.3Opp points72.3

52.4%eFG%57.5%

26.0%TO%16.0%

30.6%OREB%28.9%

.34FT rate.57

52%3PA rate28%

53%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

Cal State Bakersfield

W91-83@ WIU

W91-80vs NDSU

W93-54vs Stanton

L76-108@ CP

L84-86vs CSUN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26CSUB 76 · CP 108Sat, 3/7

25-26CP 104 · CSUB 79Thu, 1/29

24-25CSUB 72 · CP 98Sat, 3/1

24-25CP 90 · CSUB 81Thu, 1/30

23-24CSUB 68 · CP 56Sat, 3/2

23-24CP 53 · CSUB 65Sat, 1/20

22-23CSUB 70 · CP 62Wed, 2/15

22-23CP 51 · CSUB 61Thu, 1/5

21-22CSUB 61 · CP 60Tue, 2/22

21-22CP 60 · CSUB 73Tue, 1/18

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 18 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueIcardo Center · Bakersfield, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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