Tar Heels vs Demon Deacons

Gameday · SAT FEB 20

North CarolinaVSWake Forest

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchACC Network

LineNot posted

LJVM Coliseum · Winston-Salem, NC

Win probability

1912 blend

66% UNCWAKE 34%

Adj. efficiency64%

36%

SRS60%

40%

Elo73%

27%

UNC +0.5

Proj. margin

154.3

Proj. total

69.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
• 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
• 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
• 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
• 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

• 55K.KennedyG · 3.3 APG16.3
• 4G.Placide7.7 RPG14.7
• 1J.RayG · 1.3 APG8.0
• 7I.CarrG · 1.0 APG8.7
• 17X.PintelonF · 3.3 RPG4.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+23.3Adj. net rating+13.2

27thAdj. net rank64th

121.7Adj. offense117.4

98.5Adj. defense104.3

71.2Pace68.5

11.4SRS5.5

1958Elo1787

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

88.3Points72.0

68.3Opp points66.7

55.9%eFG%49.7%

12.0%TO%16.0%

26.3%OREB%32.0%

.44FT rate.34

40%3PA rate42%

48%Assisted FG%47%

Last five games

North Carolina

W76-63vs WYO

W109-70vs WOF

W80-72vs WCU

L78-82vs VCU

L79-80vs CLEM

Wake Forest

W82-64vs CHSO

L51-74@ VAN

W83-62vs UMES

L75-78vs ILST

W82-72vs NAVY

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26WAKE 84 · UNC 87Sat, 1/10

24-25UNC 68 · WAKE 59Thu, 3/13

24-25UNC 66 · WAKE 67Tue, 1/21

23-24WAKE 64 · UNC 85Mon, 1/22

22-23UNC 85 · WAKE 92Tue, 2/7

22-23WAKE 79 · UNC 88Wed, 1/4

21-22UNC 76 · WAKE 98Sat, 1/22

20-21WAKE 73 · UNC 80Wed, 1/20

19-20WAKE 83 · UNC 93Tue, 3/3

19-20UNC 57 · WAKE 74Tue, 2/11

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 20 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueLJVM Coliseum · Winston-Salem, NC

WatchACC Network

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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