Golden Bears vs Wolfpack

Gameday · SAT FEB 20

CaliforniaVSNC State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip12:00 PM ET

WatchCW

LineNot posted

Lenovo Center · Raleigh, NC

Win probability

1912 blend

29% CALNCSU 71%

Adj. efficiency20%

80%

SRS27%

73%

Elo40%

60%

NCSU +6.1

Proj. margin

156.0

Proj. total

70.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 25N.IndrusaitisG · 2.0 APG17.3
• 2J.RossG · 6.0 APG10.5
• 21J.WilkinsF · 4.8 RPG8.8
• 17M.KocanasC · 0.0 BPG4.5
• 23S.YeanayF · 4.3 RPG11.8

• 0P.EdmeadG · 6.3 APG12.0
• 2P.McNeil Jr.G · 1.0 APG13.0
• 22V.LubinF · 8.3 RPG15.3
• 11D.AdamsG · 3.3 APG10.3
• 14K.EvansF · 4.7 RPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+11.9Adj. net rating+20.7

73rdAdj. net rank34th

114.2Adj. offense124.1

102.3Adj. defense103.4

73.3Pace67.2

5.5SRS9.4

1798Elo1868

2–2Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

83.0Points84.7

79.8Opp points62.3

55.4%eFG%58.3%

15.0%TO%17.0%

28.2%OREB%32.5%

.34FT rate.25

43%3PA rate45%

65%Assisted FG%61%

Last five games

California

L65-77vs USC

L68-86vs HOU

W84-70vs RAD

W115-86vs Adams State

L75-76vs JOES

NC State

W94-60vs PRES

W77-63vs ETSU

W83-64vs CAM

L66-68vs TEX

L74-81@ UVA

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

24-25NCSU 62 · CAL 74Wed, 2/5

24-25CAL 65 · NCSU 62Sat, 1/18

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 20 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueLenovo Center · Raleigh, NC

WatchCW

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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