Gauchos vs Mustangs

Gameday · SAT FEB 20

UC Santa BarbaraVSCal Poly

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Mott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

59% UCSBCP 41%

Adj. efficiency58%

42%

SRS57%

43%

Elo63%

37%

UCSB +0.3

Proj. margin

164.5

Proj. total

73.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 20A.MahaneyG · 2.7 APG11.7
• 3C.ShawG · 1.0 APG12.0
• 1M.LittleG · 4.3 APG8.7
• 9E.DibamiF · 6.0 RPG8.3
• 4M.McGhee IVG · 3.0 APG7.7

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.3Adj. net rating-4.8

142ndAdj. net rank220th

113.3Adj. offense109.0

110.9Adj. defense113.9

67.2Pace80.0

1.4SRS-3.6

1749Elo1655

3–0Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

83.7Points77.7

61.7Opp points88.3

58.2%eFG%52.4%

15.0%TO%26.0%

30.9%OREB%30.6%

.50FT rate.34

45%3PA rate52%

71%Assisted FG%53%

Last five games

UC Santa Barbara

W76-63vs NEV

W90-67vs OAK

W85-55vs San Francisco State

L73-79@ UCD

L63-64vs UCSD

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UCSB 79 · CP 89Sat, 2/14

25-26CP 67 · UCSB 107Thu, 1/22

24-25CP 77 · UCSB 96Thu, 2/27

24-25UCSB 75 · CP 72Sat, 1/11

23-24CP 75 · UCSB 83Thu, 2/29

23-24UCSB 61 · CP 52Sat, 1/6

22-23CP 54 · UCSB 64Thu, 3/9

22-23CP 62 · UCSB 68Thu, 2/2

22-23UCSB 62 · CP 57Sat, 1/7

21-22UCSB 69 · CP 64Sat, 2/12

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 20 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueMott Athletics Center · San Luis Obispo, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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