Cardinals vs Seminoles

Gameday · SUN FEB 21

LouisvilleAP #10VSFlorida State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip4:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Tucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Win probability

1912 blend

72% LOUFSU 28%

Adj. efficiency75%

25%

SRS66%

34%

Elo76%

24%

LOU +2.2

Proj. margin

160.4

Proj. total

72.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3J.ShelstadG · 4.0 APG10.5
• 7A.FolgueirasF · 4.5 RPG10.0
• 14A.WooleyG · 3.5 APG13.5
• 5S.TrimbleG · 3.5 APG12.0
• 40F.BidungaF · 8.0 RPG13.0

• 22S.RancikF · 4.0 RPG22.0
• 1S.AbaevG · 4.3 APG12.0
• 2A.Robinson IIG · 3.3 APG13.7
• 3K.TaylorG · 2.3 APG13.3
• 11M.Ponder8.0 RPG9.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+27.4Adj. net rating+12.9

17thAdj. net rank67th

124.1Adj. offense118.0

96.7Adj. defense105.1

71.3Pace73.2

13.3SRS5.8

2054Elo1851

2–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

95.5Points91.7

63.5Opp points72.7

56.9%eFG%52.6%

12.0%TO%14.0%

37.6%OREB%34.4%

.39FT rate.48

53%3PA rate38%

57%Assisted FG%45%

Last five games

Louisville

W107-57vs MORE

W84-70vs UTC

L69-77@ MSU

W83-79vs USF

L73-78@ MIA

Florida State

L72-81vs FLA

W91-68vs TROY

W112-69vs FAMU

L79-80@ DUKE

W95-89vs CAL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

24-25FSU 81 · LOU 89Sat, 2/22

24-25LOU 90 · FSU 76Sat, 12/21

23-24FSU 92 · LOU 101Sat, 2/3

22-23FSU 81 · LOU 78Sat, 2/4

22-23LOU 53 · FSU 75Sat, 12/10

21-22LOU 70 · FSU 79Sat, 1/8

20-21FSU 78 · LOU 65Mon, 1/18

19-20LOU 67 · FSU 82Mon, 2/24

19-20FSU 78 · LOU 65Sat, 1/4

18-19LOU 75 · FSU 80Sat, 2/9

Game information

TipSunday, Feb 21 · 4:00 PM ET

VenueTucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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