Hurricanes vs Tar Heels

Gameday · MON FEB 22

MiamiAP #17VSNorth Carolina

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

––Min

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchESPN

LineNot posted

Dean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC

Win probability

1912 blend

42% MIAUNC 58%

Adj. efficiency34%

66%

SRS38%

62%

Elo54%

46%

UNC +3.7

Proj. margin

159.6

Proj. total

72.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 55A.LewisG · 4.3 APG10.3
• 7S.HendersonF · 6.3 RPG13.3
• 11C.Gaskins4.7 RPG9.0
• 2S.CyrilC · 1.3 BPG10.7
• 5M.ReneauF · 4.3 RPG11.0

• 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
• 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
• 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
• 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
• 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+21.2Adj. net rating+23.3

33rdAdj. net rank27th

121.5Adj. offense121.7

100.3Adj. defense98.5

73.2Pace71.2

11.1SRS11.4

1986Elo1958

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

79.7Points88.3

61.7Opp points68.3

48.3%eFG%55.9%

16.0%TO%12.0%

31.4%OREB%26.3%

.31FT rate.44

31%3PA rate40%

47%Assisted FG%48%

Last five games

Miami

W89-51vs UNF

W83-57vs WAG

L67-77@ FLA

L69-79@ PUR

W80-66vs MIZ

North Carolina

W76-63vs WYO

W109-70vs WOF

W80-72vs WCU

L78-82vs VCU

L79-80vs CLEM

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UNC 66 · MIA 75Tue, 2/10

24-25MIA 73 · UNC 92Sat, 3/1

23-24MIA 71 · UNC 75Mon, 2/26

23-24UNC 75 · MIA 72Sat, 2/10

22-23MIA 80 · UNC 72Mon, 2/13

21-22UNC 57 · MIA 85Tue, 1/18

20-21UNC 67 · MIA 65Tue, 1/5

19-20MIA 71 · UNC 94Sat, 1/25

18-19MIA 85 · UNC 88Sat, 2/9

18-19UNC 85 · MIA 76Sat, 1/19

Game information

TipMonday, Feb 22 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueDean E. Smith Center · Chapel Hill, NC

WatchESPN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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