Falcons vs Rebels

Gameday · WED FEB 24

Air ForceVSUNLV

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip10:30 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Thomas & Mack Center · Las Vegas, NV

Win probability

1912 blend

3% AFAUNLV 97%

Adj. efficiency1%

99%

SRS3%

97%

Elo3%

97%

UNLV +13.7

Proj. margin

165.1

Proj. total

76.1

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 33G.Best4.8 RPG18.5
• 3K.SandersG · 4.5 APG20.3
• 24L.HobinF · 4.5 RPG16.0
• 10C.WalkerF · 8.7 RPG12.0
• 15J.HindsG · 1.0 APG3.8

• 2C.MilesG · 3.0 APG17.5
• 24S.MackG · 2.5 APG24.0
• 6T.JonesF · 6.5 RPG14.5
• 0D.WilliamsG · 1.0 APG11.0
• 1J.FoumenaC · 0.0 BPG7.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-21.9Adj. net rating+6.1

348thAdj. net rank104th

94.5Adj. offense114.6

116.4Adj. defense108.5

80.9Pace71.3

-16.2SRS0.9

1174Elo1785

3–1Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

93.5Points88.5

83.8Opp points78.0

47.2%eFG%54.2%

13.0%TO%16.0%

43.4%OREB%38.7%

.50FT rate.54

39%3PA rate30%

51%Assisted FG%31%

Last five games

Air Force

W107-93vs LUC

W89-82vs IDST

W107-58vs Calumet College

L71-102@ WRST

L45-80@ NEV

UNLV

W88-79vs SAM

W89-77vs NAU

L66-77@ TLSA

W75-72@ UCI

L60-80@ USU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UNLV 91 · AFA 66Sat, 2/21

25-26AFA 39 · UNLV 67Sat, 1/3

24-25AFA 59 · UNLV 68Wed, 3/12

24-25AFA 52 · UNLV 77Tue, 2/11

24-25UNLV 77 · AFA 58Tue, 12/31

23-24UNLV 72 · AFA 43Wed, 2/21

23-24AFA 90 · UNLV 58Tue, 1/23

22-23AFA 70 · UNLV 78Wed, 3/8

22-23AFA 53 · UNLV 54Fri, 2/24

21-22AFA 44 · UNLV 78Tue, 2/8

Game information

TipWednesday, Feb 24 · 10:30 PM ET

VenueThomas & Mack Center · Las Vegas, NV

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

An independent fan community, not affiliated with the University of Louisville.