Blue Devils vs Cardinals

Gameday · WED FEB 24

DukeAP #2VSLouisvilleAP #10

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchESPN

LineNot posted

KFC Yum! Center · Louisville, KY

Win probability

1912 blend

74% DUKELOU 26%

Adj. efficiency72%

28%

SRS67%

33%

Elo85%

15%

DUKE +1.7

Proj. margin

158.8

Proj. total

72.4

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 13J.BlackwellG · 1.0 APG11.7
• 21P.Ngongba IIC · 2.0 BPG16.3
• 7D.SarrG · 2.3 APG11.3
• 2C.BoozerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 30J.Boumtje5.3 RPG9.7

• 3J.ShelstadG · 4.0 APG10.5
• 7A.FolgueirasF · 4.5 RPG10.0
• 14A.WooleyG · 3.5 APG13.5
• 5S.TrimbleG · 3.5 APG12.0
• 40F.BidungaF · 8.0 RPG13.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+40.4Adj. net rating+27.4

2ndAdj. net rank17th

129.2Adj. offense124.1

88.7Adj. defense96.7

73.5Pace71.3

21.1SRS13.3

2349Elo2054

2–1Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

90.0Points95.5

60.3Opp points63.5

54.1%eFG%56.9%

18.0%TO%12.0%

35.4%OREB%37.6%

.57FT rate.39

40%3PA rate53%

64%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Duke

L73-79vs MSU

W113-52vs CCU

W84-50vs ARMY

L72-73vs CONN

W80-75vs SJU

Louisville

W107-57vs MORE

W84-70vs UTC

L69-77@ MSU

W83-79vs USF

L73-78@ MIA

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26LOU 52 · DUKE 83Mon, 1/26

25-26DUKE 84 · LOU 73Tue, 1/6

24-25LOU 62 · DUKE 73Sat, 3/15

24-25DUKE 76 · LOU 65Sun, 12/8

23-24LOU 59 · DUKE 84Wed, 2/28

23-24DUKE 83 · LOU 69Tue, 1/23

22-23LOU 62 · DUKE 79Mon, 2/20

21-22DUKE 74 · LOU 65Sat, 1/29

20-21DUKE 70 · LOU 56Wed, 3/10

20-21LOU 80 · DUKE 73Sat, 2/27

Game information

TipWednesday, Feb 24 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueKFC Yum! Center · Louisville, KY

WatchESPN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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