Mustangs vs Tritons

Gameday · THU FEB 25

Cal PolyVSUC San Diego

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

LionTree Arena · San Diego, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

28% CPUCSD 72%

Adj. efficiency20%

80%

SRS20%

80%

Elo43%

57%

UCSD +6.3

Proj. margin

166.0

Proj. total

76.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10H.MousaG · 1.3 APG21.3
• 14C.WardG · 2.7 APG11.0
• 5G.VasilicG · 1.7 APG5.3
• 1J.EssisG · 2.3 APG10.3
• 11A.GoodeF · 4.0 RPG6.7

• 8L.BeathF · 5.5 RPG15.0
• 1R.BarnoG · 4.0 APG17.5
• 52T.EaglestaffG · 3.0 APG16.5
• 10A.ChaikinG · 0.5 APG7.0
• 33D.VukicevicC · 0.5 BPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-4.8Adj. net rating+3.6

220thAdj. net rank127th

109.0Adj. offense107.3

113.9Adj. defense103.7

80.0Pace73.0

-3.6SRS2.8

1655Elo1701

1–2Record2–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

77.7Points90.5

88.3Opp points70.0

52.4%eFG%55.7%

26.0%TO%11.0%

30.6%OREB%29.9%

.34FT rate.26

52%3PA rate39%

53%Assisted FG%39%

Last five games

Cal Poly

L71-99@ GCU

L84-104@ ARIZ

W78-62vs CSU San Marcos

L69-72@ UCSD

W108-76vs CSUB

UC San Diego

W81-65vs FRES

W100-75vs Whittier

L70-80@ CSUN

W72-69vs CP

W64-63@ UCSB

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26CP 69 · UCSD 72Wed, 3/11

25-26CP 64 · UCSD 80Sat, 2/28

25-26UCSD 65 · CP 67Thu, 1/1

24-25UCSD 81 · CP 67Thu, 2/20

24-25CP 68 · UCSD 95Thu, 1/9

23-24CP 87 · UCSD 92Sat, 3/9

23-24UCSD 86 · CP 61Sat, 1/13

22-23UCSD 71 · CP 64Thu, 1/19

21-22UCSD 76 · CP 80Sat, 3/5

21-22CP 59 · UCSD 55Thu, 1/27

Game information

TipThursday, Feb 25 · time TBD

VenueLionTree Arena · San Diego, CA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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