Wolverines vs Spartans

Gameday · FRI FEB 26

MichiganAP #20VSMichigan StateAP #5

Tip-off in

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Tip8:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Breslin Center · East Lansing, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

74% MICHMSU 26%

Adj. efficiency71%

29%

SRS66%

34%

Elo86%

14%

MICH +1.5

Proj. margin

157.8

Proj. total

72.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.McKenneyG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 3E.CadeauG · 6.3 APG10.7
• 13J.EstrellaF · 9.7 RPG17.3
• 11R.Gayle Jr.G · 1.7 APG14.0
• 52M.ThiamC · 1.5 BPG5.5

• 1J.Fears Jr.G · 10.3 APG14.3
• 6J.ScottF · 8.0 RPG9.3
• 25J.Jervis3.7 RPG10.0
• 55C.CarrF · 5.0 RPG10.3
• 34A.BonkeC · 0.7 BPG7.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+41.9Adj. net rating+29.5

1stAdj. net rank11th

130.6Adj. offense122.7

88.8Adj. defense93.2

72.2Pace72.8

22.6SRS15.2

2464Elo2150

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

81.7Points88.7

74.3Opp points64.3

51.8%eFG%58.9%

18.0%TO%18.0%

31.1%OREB%28.7%

.30FT rate.53

45%3PA rate38%

57%Assisted FG%63%

Last five games

Michigan

W84-70vs MARQ

L77-85@ CONN

W84-68vs OAK

W69-63vs CONN

W91-73@ ARIZ

Michigan State

W79-73@ DUKE

W91-61vs TOL

W96-59vs QUIN

L63-67@ CONN

W77-69vs LOU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MSU 80 · MICH 90Sun, 3/8

25-26MICH 83 · MSU 71Fri, 1/30

24-25MICH 62 · MSU 79Sun, 3/9

24-25MSU 75 · MICH 62Fri, 2/21

23-24MSU 73 · MICH 63Sat, 2/17

23-24MICH 62 · MSU 81Tue, 1/30

22-23MSU 72 · MICH 84Sat, 2/18

22-23MICH 53 · MSU 59Sat, 1/7

21-22MSU 70 · MICH 87Tue, 3/1

21-22MICH 67 · MSU 83Sat, 1/29

Game information

TipFriday, Feb 26 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueBreslin Center · East Lansing, MI

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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