Racers vs Beacons

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

Murray StateVSValparaiso

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Athletics-Recreation Center · Valparaiso, IN

Win probability

1912 blend

47% MURVAL 53%

Adj. efficiency51%

49%

SRS51%

49%

Elo39%

61%

VAL +1.4

Proj. margin

157.2

Proj. total

71.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 77R.DomonG · 3.3 APG22.7
• 11B.RogersF · 8.3 RPG6.7
• 34B.ShorterG · 0.0 APG20.3
• 8T.Soulhac2.3 RPG7.3
• 14L.CrateG · 0.7 APG3.7

• 2R.ChaneyG · 3.7 APG19.0
• 13C.HopoiF · 6.7 RPG10.7
• 1J.McNairG · 0.7 APG8.0
• 7J.PettigrewF · 5.0 RPG14.7
• 4B.AlocenG · 0.3 APG4.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+5.1Adj. net rating+0.4

115thAdj. net rank163rd

115.9Adj. offense107.6

110.8Adj. defense107.1

77.3Pace65.2

2.1SRS-1.3

1680Elo1755

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

93.7Points77.3

64.0Opp points73.0

58.2%eFG%49.1%

18.0%TO%13.0%

34.4%OREB%30.1%

.46FT rate.54

48%3PA rate36%

61%Assisted FG%39%

Last five games

Murray State

W94-57vs ALCN

W93-71vs NWST

W94-64@ TNST

L75-89@ NEV

L79-92vs UIC

Valparaiso

L69-81@ SDST

W83-80@ PUR

W80-58vs WIU

L84-90@ BRAD

W63-62vs INST

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26VAL 79 · MUR 92Sat, 1/10

25-26MUR 85 · VAL 79Sun, 12/21

24-25MUR 74 · VAL 56Sat, 2/8

24-25VAL 47 · MUR 58Sat, 1/11

23-24VAL 68 · MUR 80Sat, 2/24

22-23VAL 50 · MUR 78Thu, 3/2

22-23VAL 76 · MUR 77Sun, 2/26

22-23MUR 77 · VAL 70Sun, 12/4

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · time TBD

VenueAthletics-Recreation Center · Valparaiso, IN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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