Braves vs Redbirds

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

BradleyVSIllinois State

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

CEFCU Arena · Normal, IL

Win probability

1912 blend

36% BRADILST 64%

Adj. efficiency29%

71%

SRS30%

70%

Elo48%

52%

ILST +4.5

Proj. margin

139.8

Proj. total

64.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 20T.PaytonG · 2.0 APG13.0
• 19J.IbukunoluwaF · 8.0 RPG10.0
• 3X.AlarieF · 5.3 RPG6.3
• 0N.WilliamsF · 5.0 RPG8.0
• 6M.Gaspa1.3 RPG3.0

• 11J.KinzigerG · 3.7 APG19.3
• 3M.KlaboG · 3.3 APG7.7
• 5D.BurchG · 1.0 APG8.0
• 0N.Cleveland4.7 RPG6.7
• 9M.Messina-MooreG · 3.0 APG15.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+4.7Adj. net rating+9.3

120thAdj. net rank89th

111.8Adj. offense111.3

107.1Adj. defense102.0

66.0Pace63.4

1.7SRS4.4

1828Elo1840

1–2Record1–2

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

60.7Points81.3

55.3Opp points73.7

43.3%eFG%63.1%

20.0%TO%19.0%

34.7%OREB%29.4%

.22FT rate.39

47%3PA rate51%

62%Assisted FG%68%

Last five games

Bradley

L45-62@ DAV

L52-63vs PAC

W85-41vs Monmouth (IL)

L66-80vs DAY

L69-73vs UNI

Illinois State

L59-76@ PUR

W100-55vs Central State (OH)

L85-90@ SMC

L66-88@ AUB

W61-55@ DAY

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26ILST 60 · BRAD 74Sat, 2/21

25-26BRAD 62 · ILST 88Sat, 1/17

24-25BRAD 71 · ILST 82Wed, 2/19

24-25ILST 57 · BRAD 61Sat, 1/25

23-24ILST 45 · BRAD 48Sat, 2/24

23-24BRAD 73 · ILST 60Sat, 2/3

22-23BRAD 79 · ILST 61Wed, 2/8

22-23ILST 75 · BRAD 79Wed, 1/25

21-22ILST 64 · BRAD 72Sat, 2/19

21-22BRAD 65 · ILST 74Sun, 1/16

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · time TBD

VenueCEFCU Arena · Normal, IL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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