Wolfpack vs Blue Devils

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

NC StateVSDukeAP #2

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip12:00 PM ET

WatchESPN

LineNot posted

Cameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC

Win probability

1912 blend

7% NCSUDUKE 93%

Adj. efficiency6%

94%

SRS9%

91%

Elo6%

94%

DUKE +10.0

Proj. margin

156.7

Proj. total

70.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0P.EdmeadG · 6.3 APG12.0
• 2P.McNeil Jr.G · 1.0 APG13.0
• 22V.LubinF · 8.3 RPG15.3
• 11D.AdamsG · 3.3 APG10.3
• 14K.EvansF · 4.7 RPG5.0

• 13J.BlackwellG · 1.0 APG11.7
• 21P.Ngongba IIC · 2.0 BPG16.3
• 7D.SarrG · 2.3 APG11.3
• 2C.BoozerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 30J.Boumtje5.3 RPG9.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+20.7Adj. net rating+40.4

34thAdj. net rank2nd

124.1Adj. offense129.2

103.4Adj. defense88.7

67.2Pace73.5

9.4SRS21.1

1868Elo2349

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

84.7Points90.0

62.3Opp points60.3

58.3%eFG%54.1%

17.0%TO%18.0%

32.5%OREB%35.4%

.25FT rate.57

45%3PA rate40%

61%Assisted FG%64%

Last five games

NC State

W94-60vs PRES

W77-63vs ETSU

W83-64vs CAM

L66-68vs TEX

L74-81@ UVA

Duke

L73-79vs MSU

W113-52vs CCU

W84-50vs ARMY

L72-73vs CONN

W80-75vs SJU

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26DUKE 93 · NCSU 64Mon, 3/2

24-25NCSU 64 · DUKE 74Mon, 1/27

23-24NCSU 76 · DUKE 64Sun, 3/31

23-24NCSU 74 · DUKE 69Thu, 3/14

23-24DUKE 79 · NCSU 64Mon, 3/4

22-23NCSU 67 · DUKE 71Tue, 2/28

22-23DUKE 60 · NCSU 84Wed, 1/4

21-22NCSU 73 · DUKE 88Sat, 1/15

20-21DUKE 69 · NCSU 53Sat, 2/13

19-20NCSU 69 · DUKE 88Mon, 3/2

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueCameron Indoor Stadium · Durham, NC

WatchESPN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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