Seminoles vs Cavaliers

Gameday · SAT FEB 27

Florida StateVSVirginiaAP #6

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

John Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

Win probability

1912 blend

15% FSUUVA 85%

Adj. efficiency12%

88%

SRS16%

84%

Elo19%

81%

UVA +8.1

Proj. margin

161.3

Proj. total

72.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 22S.RancikF · 4.0 RPG22.0
• 1S.AbaevG · 4.3 APG12.0
• 2A.Robinson IIG · 3.3 APG13.7
• 3K.TaylorG · 2.3 APG13.3
• 11M.Ponder8.0 RPG9.7

• 5S.LewisG · 2.3 APG15.0
• 17J.GrunlohC · 2.8 BPG13.0
• 1C.MalloryG · 5.0 APG14.8
• 28T.RidderF · 8.3 RPG17.8
• 22N.Adekunle3.0 RPG8.8

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+12.9Adj. net rating+26.8

67thAdj. net rank18th

118.0Adj. offense123.3

105.1Adj. defense96.5

73.2Pace72.5

5.8SRS13.8

1851Elo2107

2–1Record4–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

91.7Points93.0

72.7Opp points66.3

52.6%eFG%58.1%

14.0%TO%17.0%

34.4%OREB%38.6%

.48FT rate.28

38%3PA rate47%

45%Assisted FG%67%

Last five games

Florida State

L72-81vs FLA

W91-68vs TROY

W112-69vs FAMU

L79-80@ DUKE

W95-89vs CAL

Virginia

W95-61vs BUCK

W91-72vs ARK

W97-72vs NE

W89-60vs DREX

L72-79vs TENN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26UVA 61 · FSU 58Tue, 2/10

24-25FSU 57 · UVA 60Tue, 3/4

23-24UVA 80 · FSU 76Sat, 2/10

22-23UVA 67 · FSU 58Sat, 1/14

22-23FSU 57 · UVA 62Sat, 12/3

21-22FSU 64 · UVA 63Sat, 2/26

20-21UVA 60 · FSU 81Mon, 2/15

19-20FSU 56 · UVA 61Tue, 1/28

19-20UVA 50 · FSU 54Wed, 1/15

18-19FSU 69 · UVA 59Fri, 3/15

Game information

TipSaturday, Feb 27 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueJohn Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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