Cardinals vs Lumberjacks

Gameday · MON MAR 1

Incarnate WordVSStephen F. Austin

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

William R. Johnson Coliseum · Nacogdoches, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

10% UIWSFA 90%

Adj. efficiency7%

93%

SRS10%

90%

Elo13%

87%

SFA +9.5

Proj. margin

159.3

Proj. total

71.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0D.GoodwinF · 6.5 RPG9.0
• 24B.McCreeshG · 1.5 APG7.5
• 21G.ErherieneC · 1.5 BPG12.8
• 3M.ConnerG · 5.7 APG8.7
• 5I.HabibG · 2.0 APG9.8

• 3C.GreenATH · 4.3 RPG5.7
• 6N.ChotikavanicG · 1.7 APG11.0
• 21M.RussellG · 1.0 APG9.3
• 12E.Makke2.3 RPG15.3
• 32E.DanielF · 6.3 RPG4.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

-9.0Adj. net rating+8.9

264thAdj. net rank90th

108.7Adj. offense113.1

117.8Adj. defense104.2

71.9Pace71.7

-4.8SRS6.6

1573Elo1904

0–4Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

60.8Points95.0

79.3Opp points54.7

42.8%eFG%57.5%

24.0%TO%11.0%

29.7%OREB%33.6%

.38FT rate.34

43%3PA rate47%

56%Assisted FG%60%

Last five games

Incarnate Word

L69-81@ UCD

L60-79@ UTEP

L54-66vs CHST

L60-91@ OKST

L68-76vs SFA

Stephen F. Austin

W76-71@ ACU

W89-32vs Texas Lutheran

W120-61vs Lyon

L84-89@ TLSA

L59-76vs MCN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26SFA 76 · UIW 68Mon, 3/2

25-26UIW 46 · SFA 56Mon, 1/12

24-25SFA 61 · UIW 63Sat, 2/22

24-25UIW 55 · SFA 49Sat, 1/4

20-21SFA 83 · UIW 65Sat, 1/16

19-20SFA 80 · UIW 56Sat, 2/22

19-20UIW 56 · SFA 80Sat, 1/18

18-19UIW 54 · SFA 81Sat, 2/23

18-19SFA 74 · UIW 71Sat, 1/19

17-18SFA 81 · UIW 70Sat, 2/17

Game information

TipMonday, Mar 1 · time TBD

VenueWilliam R. Johnson Coliseum · Nacogdoches, TX

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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