Cougars vs Bearcats

Gameday · TUE MAR 2

HoustonAP #8VSCincinnati

Tip-off in

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Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchPeacock

LineNot posted

Fifth Third Arena · Cincinnati, OH

Win probability

1912 blend

78% HOUCIN 22%

Adj. efficiency79%

21%

SRS70%

30%

Elo84%

16%

HOU +3.0

Proj. margin

144.2

Proj. total

68.9

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 9D.Thomas Jr.G · 6.7 APG17.7
• 25M.MillerG · 3.7 APG9.3
• 23D.GillespieF · 6.3 RPG11.0
• 11J.TuglerF · 5.7 RPG9.7
• 24C.McCartyF · 5.0 RPG9.0

• 2M.Collins Jr.G · 2.7 APG11.0
• 10T.RileyG · 3.7 APG12.0
• 6M.ColvinG · 0.7 APG12.0
• 8T.TejadaG · 2.0 APG7.7
• 11D.IwezeF · 4.0 RPG4.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+34.4Adj. net rating+17.1

6thAdj. net rank48th

123.6Adj. offense111.5

89.2Adj. defense94.4

70.0Pace67.8

17.3SRS8.5

2281Elo1995

3–0Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

90.7Points73.7

56.3Opp points60.0

58.4%eFG%50.8%

15.0%TO%17.0%

28.9%OREB%34.3%

.45FT rate.29

29%3PA rate47%

59%Assisted FG%66%

Last five games

Houston

W92-46vs JVST

W86-68@ CAL

W94-55vs LAS

L55-65vs ILL

W88-57vs TA&M

Cincinnati

L61-63vs MINN

W81-64vs GB

W79-53vs AMER

L65-66@ UCF

W73-66vs UTAH

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26CIN 54 · HOU 76Sat, 1/31

25-26HOU 67 · CIN 60Sat, 1/3

24-25CIN 64 · HOU 73Sat, 3/1

23-24CIN 59 · HOU 67Tue, 2/27

23-24HOU 67 · CIN 62Sat, 2/10

22-23CIN 48 · HOU 69Sat, 3/11

22-23CIN 69 · HOU 75Sat, 1/28

22-23HOU 72 · CIN 59Sun, 1/8

21-22CIN 56 · HOU 69Fri, 3/11

21-22CIN 53 · HOU 71Tue, 3/1

Game information

TipTuesday, Mar 2 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueFifth Third Arena · Cincinnati, OH

WatchPeacock

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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