Nittany Lions vs Trojans

Gameday · TUE MAR 2

Penn StateVSUSCAP #21

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip9:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Galen Center · Los Angeles, CA

Win probability

1912 blend

24% PSUUSC 76%

Adj. efficiency21%

79%

SRS22%

78%

Elo30%

70%

USC +5.9

Proj. margin

159.8

Proj. total

72.1

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 10J.ReedG · 0.3 APG16.0
• 5D.BowenG · 2.7 APG11.7
• 3I.JuricF · 12.7 RPG15.0
• 14T.Allard3.0 RPG5.3
• 22B.ByersF · 2.0 RPG7.7

• 1R.RiceG · 7.0 APG21.7
• 0A.ArenasG · 1.3 APG23.3
• 5J.CofieF · 7.0 RPG5.7
• 3A.Ratliff6.3 RPG11.7
• 13D.Ratliff2.3 RPG7.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+2.8Adj. net rating+10.8

137thAdj. net rank82nd

114.7Adj. offense113.8

111.9Adj. defense103.0

70.5Pace73.7

-2.3SRS3.3

1484Elo1628

3–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 4 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

85.5Points88.3

72.3Opp points71.3

53.7%eFG%52.5%

17.0%TO%16.0%

30.4%OREB%29.8%

.65FT rate.50

31%3PA rate31%

56%Assisted FG%64%

Last five games

Penn State

W72-57vs MERC

L76-82@ PITT

W97-93vs UTC

W97-57vs CAN

L66-76@ NU

USC

W77-65@ CAL

W93-86@ WICH

W95-63vs MILW

L79-83@ WASH

L68-89vs UCLA

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26USC 77 · PSU 75Sun, 2/8

24-25PSU 67 · USC 92Tue, 2/11

Game information

TipTuesday, Mar 2 · 9:00 PM ET

VenueGalen Center · Los Angeles, CA

WatchBTN

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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