Tar Heels vs Panthers

Gameday · TUE MAR 2

North CarolinaVSPittsburgh

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip9:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Petersen Events Center · Pittsburgh, PA

Win probability

1912 blend

75% UNCPITT 25%

Adj. efficiency78%

22%

SRS71%

29%

Elo77%

23%

UNC +2.7

Proj. margin

157.4

Proj. total

71.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1T.BrownG · 1.7 APG16.3
• 15J.StevensonF · 2.7 RPG8.3
• 17N.AvdalasG · 4.0 APG7.3
• 3M.AbleG · 2.0 APG11.7
• 21S.Keita4.7 RPG7.7

• 0J.PowellG · 1.3 APG12.3
• 3A.SumlerG · 4.0 APG14.3
• 11B.NdongoF · 11.7 RPG16.0
• 2N.GeorgeG · 6.0 APG10.3
• 4A.SouareF · 4.0 RPG4.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+23.3Adj. net rating+7.3

27thAdj. net rank98th

121.7Adj. offense113.5

98.5Adj. defense106.1

71.2Pace72.0

11.4SRS2.3

1958Elo1749

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

88.3Points85.7

68.3Opp points64.7

55.9%eFG%52.2%

12.0%TO%14.0%

26.3%OREB%33.1%

.44FT rate.52

40%3PA rate37%

48%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

North Carolina

W76-63vs WYO

W109-70vs WOF

W80-72vs WCU

L78-82vs VCU

L79-80vs CLEM

Pittsburgh

W82-76vs PSU

W80-61vs BUF

W95-57vs RID

L88-98@ NCSU

W64-63@ STAN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26PITT 65 · UNC 79Sat, 2/14

24-25PITT 66 · UNC 67Sat, 2/8

24-25UNC 65 · PITT 73Tue, 1/28

23-24PITT 65 · UNC 72Fri, 3/15

23-24UNC 70 · PITT 57Tue, 1/2

22-23PITT 65 · UNC 64Wed, 2/1

22-23UNC 74 · PITT 76Fri, 12/30

21-22PITT 76 · UNC 67Wed, 2/16

20-21UNC 75 · PITT 65Tue, 1/26

19-20UNC 52 · PITT 66Sat, 1/18

Game information

TipTuesday, Mar 2 · 9:00 PM ET

VenuePetersen Events Center · Pittsburgh, PA

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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