Cardinals vs Wolfpack

Gameday · TUE MAR 2

LouisvilleAP #10VSNC State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip7:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Lenovo Center · Raleigh, NC

Win probability

1912 blend

61% LOUNCSU 39%

Adj. efficiency56%

44%

SRS53%

47%

Elo74%

26%

LOU +0.7

Proj. margin

155.2

Proj. total

69.3

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 3J.ShelstadG · 4.0 APG10.5
• 7A.FolgueirasF · 4.5 RPG10.0
• 14A.WooleyG · 3.5 APG13.5
• 5S.TrimbleG · 3.5 APG12.0
• 40F.BidungaF · 8.0 RPG13.0

• 0P.EdmeadG · 6.3 APG12.0
• 2P.McNeil Jr.G · 1.0 APG13.0
• 22V.LubinF · 8.3 RPG15.3
• 11D.AdamsG · 3.3 APG10.3
• 14K.EvansF · 4.7 RPG5.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+27.4Adj. net rating+20.7

17thAdj. net rank34th

124.1Adj. offense124.1

96.7Adj. defense103.4

71.3Pace67.2

13.3SRS9.4

2054Elo1868

2–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

95.5Points84.7

63.5Opp points62.3

56.9%eFG%58.3%

12.0%TO%17.0%

37.6%OREB%32.5%

.39FT rate.25

53%3PA rate45%

57%Assisted FG%61%

Last five games

Louisville

W107-57vs MORE

W84-70vs UTC

L69-77@ MSU

W83-79vs USF

L73-78@ MIA

NC State

W94-60vs PRES

W77-63vs ETSU

W83-64vs CAM

L66-68vs TEX

L74-81@ UVA

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26NCSU 77 · LOU 118Mon, 2/9

24-25LOU 91 · NCSU 66Wed, 2/12

23-24LOU 85 · NCSU 94Tue, 3/12

23-24NCSU 89 · LOU 83Sat, 1/13

22-23LOU 64 · NCSU 76Thu, 12/22

21-22NCSU 79 · LOU 63Wed, 1/12

21-22LOU 73 · NCSU 68Sat, 12/4

19-20LOU 77 · NCSU 57Sat, 2/1

18-19NCSU 77 · LOU 84Thu, 1/24

17-18LOU 69 · NCSU 76Sat, 3/3

Game information

TipTuesday, Mar 2 · 7:00 PM ET

VenueLenovo Center · Raleigh, NC

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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