Wildcats vs Knights

Gameday · WED MAR 3

Kansas StateVSUCF

Tip time TBD

TipTBD

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Addition Financial Arena · Orlando, FL

Win probability

1912 blend

25% KSUUCF 75%

Adj. efficiency24%

76%

SRS22%

78%

Elo28%

72%

UCF +5.4

Proj. margin

156.3

Proj. total

69.9

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 1B.RechsteinerG · 4.0 APG22.7
• 7I.AbrahamF · 5.3 RPG12.0
• 2J.SchuttG · 3.0 APG9.7
• 6B.ViceC · 0.3 BPG6.0
• 4D.LindsayF · 3.3 RPG5.0

• 1D.JohnsonG · 4.3 APG31.0
• 7J.BolF · 4.3 RPG4.0
• 32I.MaloneF · 5.0 RPG4.7
• 8R.KugelG · 1.3 APG5.0
• 2A.DeanG · 3.3 APG10.3

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+7.2Adj. net rating+14.1

99thAdj. net rank58th

114.1Adj. offense120.0

106.8Adj. defense105.9

74.3Pace65.6

0.4SRS5.8

1631Elo1799

2–1Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

83.3Points86.3

76.0Opp points79.7

60.7%eFG%56.6%

23.0%TO%10.0%

20.6%OREB%31.6%

.35FT rate.42

59%3PA rate44%

66%Assisted FG%52%

Last five games

Kansas State

W89-82vs CREI

W95-78vs CSUN

L66-68vs SDST

L91-105@ BYU

L85-104@ KU

UCF

W76-69vs USA

W87-75vs YALE

W96-95vs FGCU

L71-75@ UCLA

L59-81@ ARIZ

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26UCF 82 · KSU 73Wed, 1/14

24-25KSU 76 · UCF 80Wed, 2/26

23-24UCF 52 · KSU 77Sat, 1/6

Game information

TipWednesday, Mar 3 · time TBD

VenueAddition Financial Arena · Orlando, FL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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