Terrapins vs Wolverines

Gameday · THU MAR 4

MarylandVSMichiganAP #20

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip6:30 PM ET

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LineNot posted

Crisler Center · Ann Arbor, MI

Win probability

1912 blend

1% MDMICH 99%

Adj. efficiency0%

100%

SRS1%

99%

Elo1%

99%

MICH +16.7

Proj. margin

155.4

Proj. total

71.0

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 21P.PayneF · 7.0 RPG20.5
• 2D.WagnerG · 3.0 APG10.5
• 7A.MillsG · 1.0 APG15.5
• 20M.McNair Jr.G · 1.0 APG3.0
• 23T.BuljanF · 8.5 RPG7.0

• 1T.McKenneyG · 2.3 APG18.0
• 3E.CadeauG · 6.3 APG10.7
• 13J.EstrellaF · 9.7 RPG17.3
• 11R.Gayle Jr.G · 1.7 APG14.0
• 52M.ThiamC · 1.5 BPG5.5

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+3.2Adj. net rating+41.9

131stAdj. net rank1st

110.8Adj. offense130.6

107.6Adj. defense88.8

69.8Pace72.2

-1.9SRS22.6

1640Elo2464

1–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 2 games / 2026-27 · 3 games

85.0Points81.7

76.5Opp points74.3

48.1%eFG%51.8%

19.0%TO%18.0%

51.6%OREB%31.1%

.41FT rate.30

36%3PA rate45%

33%Assisted FG%57%

Last five games

Maryland

L74-86@ GTWN

W96-67vs BUCK

L64-75@ IOWA

W70-60@ ORE

L72-78vs ILL

Michigan

W84-70vs MARQ

L77-85@ CONN

W84-68vs OAK

W69-63vs CONN

W91-73@ ARIZ

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MICH 101 · MD 83Sat, 12/13

24-25MICH 81 · MD 80Sat, 3/15

24-25MD 71 · MICH 65Wed, 3/5

23-24MICH 57 · MD 64Thu, 1/11

22-23MICH 58 · MD 64Thu, 1/19

22-23MD 46 · MICH 81Sun, 1/1

21-22MD 64 · MICH 83Tue, 1/18

20-21MD 66 · MICH 79Fri, 3/12

20-21MD 63 · MICH 87Tue, 1/19

20-21MICH 84 · MD 73Thu, 12/31

Game information

TipThursday, Mar 4 · 6:30 PM ET

VenueCrisler Center · Ann Arbor, MI

WatchFS1

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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