Knights vs Horned Frogs
Win probability
1912 blend33% UCFTCU 67%
TCU +4.0
Proj. margin
151.8
Proj. total
68.8
Proj. pace
Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.
Projected starters
PPG
1G · 4.3 APG31.0
7F · 4.3 RPG4.0
32F · 5.0 RPG4.7- G · 1.3 APG5.0
2G · 3.3 APG10.3
5F · 3.3 RPG21.3
2G · 8.3 APG13.7
55G · 2.7 APG11.3
24F · 8.3 RPG13.0
15F · 3.7 RPG13.3
Ratings
CBBD · 2025-26+14.1Adj. net rating+16.9
58thAdj. net rank49th
120.0Adj. offense116.2
105.9Adj. defense99.3
65.6Pace72.0
5.8SRS7.8
1799Elo1920
3–0Record3–0
Season per game
2026-27 · 3 games86.3Points101.3
79.7Opp points68.3
56.6%eFG%52.4%
10.0%TO%15.0%
31.6%OREB%42.9%
.42FT rate.58
44%3PA rate39%
52%Assisted FG%71%
Last five games
UCF
W76-69vs USA
W87-75vs YALE
W96-95vs FGCU
L71-75@ UCLA
L59-81@ ARIZ
TCU
W100-92vs ULM
W106-54vs SOU
W98-59vs LIN
L58-81@ DUKE
W66-64@ OSU
Head to head
2017-18–2026-2725-26TCU 71 · UCF 82Tue, 2/17
24-25UCF 78 · TCU 89Sat, 3/1
24-25TCU 58 · UCF 85Sat, 1/25
23-24UCF 79 · TCU 77Sat, 3/9
Game information
TipSaturday, Mar 6 · 4:00 PM ET
VenueSchollmaier Arena · Fort Worth, TX
WatchESPNU
Abbreviations
Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense
SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule
EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong
PacePossessions per 40 minutes
PPGPoints per game
eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals
TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions
OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds
FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted
3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three
Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData
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