Hawkeyes vs Fighting Illini

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

IowaVSIllinoisAP #3

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip8:00 PM ET

WatchFox

LineNot posted

State Farm Center · Champaign, IL

Win probability

1912 blend

18% IOWAILL 82%

Adj. efficiency19%

81%

SRS19%

81%

Elo17%

83%

ILL +6.4

Proj. margin

137.9

Proj. total

60.6

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 8C.KochF · 5.0 RPG13.7
• 23I.HowardG · 0.0 APG7.3
• 24T.SageG · 0.7 APG9.3
• 11K.CombsG · 3.7 APG6.3
• 3C.ManyawuF · 3.3 RPG5.7

• 2A.StojakovicG · 3.7 APG21.0
• 34E.Brown7.7 RPG10.0
• 11Q.Coleman6.0 RPG17.0
• 13T.IvisicC · 1.7 BPG8.7
• 1L.Williams5.5 RPG10.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+25.3Adj. net rating+36.6

21stAdj. net rank4th

124.9Adj. offense133.4

99.6Adj. defense96.8

43.0Pace78.3

10.4SRS17.2

1986Elo2262

2–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

85.0Points103.3

64.7Opp points66.3

61.0%eFG%64.1%

27.0%TO%18.0%

34.2%OREB%29.6%

.56FT rate.27

44%3PA rate52%

55%Assisted FG%55%

Last five games

Iowa

L88-93vs VT

W91-47vs EIU

W76-54vs LIP

L59-71@ ILL

W77-71@ NEB

Illinois

L78-84@ TTU

W112-70vs PENN

W120-45vs FDU

L62-71@ CONN

W71-59vs IOWA

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26IOWA 59 · ILL 71Sat, 3/28

25-26ILL 75 · IOWA 69Sun, 1/11

24-25IOWA 94 · ILL 106Thu, 3/13

24-25IOWA 61 · ILL 81Tue, 2/25

23-24ILL 73 · IOWA 61Sun, 3/10

23-24IOWA 85 · ILL 95Sat, 2/24

22-23ILL 79 · IOWA 81Sat, 2/4

21-22IOWA 72 · ILL 74Sun, 3/6

21-22ILL 87 · IOWA 83Mon, 12/6

20-21IOWA 71 · ILL 82Sat, 3/13

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · 8:00 PM ET

VenueState Farm Center · Champaign, IL

WatchFox

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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