Panthers vs Mustangs

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

PittsburghVSSMU

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

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Tip6:00 PM ET

WatchESPNU

LineNot posted

Moody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

Win probability

1912 blend

21% PITTSMU 79%

Adj. efficiency15%

85%

SRS18%

82%

Elo29%

71%

SMU +7.1

Proj. margin

167.0

Proj. total

74.7

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0J.PowellG · 1.3 APG12.3
• 3A.SumlerG · 4.0 APG14.3
• 11B.NdongoF · 11.7 RPG16.0
• 2N.GeorgeG · 6.0 APG10.3
• 4A.SouareF · 4.0 RPG4.0

• 6O.SellersG · 1.7 APG14.0
• 1J.ToombsC · 2.0 BPG12.3
• J.SzumertNA · 5.3 RPG15.7
• 7J.O'Neal Jr.F · 5.0 RPG14.3
• 0R.BrumbaughG · 3.0 APG7.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+7.3Adj. net rating+18.6

98thAdj. net rank41st

113.5Adj. offense123.1

106.1Adj. defense104.6

72.0Pace77.3

2.3SRS9.2

1749Elo1901

3–0Record3–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

85.7Points92.7

64.7Opp points68.3

52.2%eFG%59.7%

14.0%TO%22.0%

33.1%OREB%26.3%

.52FT rate.57

37%3PA rate40%

55%Assisted FG%78%

Last five games

Pittsburgh

W82-76vs PSU

W80-61vs BUF

W95-57vs RID

L88-98@ NCSU

W64-63@ STAN

SMU

W98-63vs PV

W95-70vs VMI

W85-72vs SOU

L79-89vs M-OH

L58-62@ LOU

Head to head

2017-18–2026-27

25-26SMU 86 · PITT 67Sat, 2/7

24-25PITT 63 · SMU 83Tue, 2/11

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · 6:00 PM ET

VenueMoody Coliseum · Dallas, TX

WatchESPNU

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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