Hurricanes vs Seminoles

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

MiamiAP #17VSFlorida State

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip2:00 PM ET

WatchTBA

LineNot posted

Tucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Win probability

1912 blend

63% MIAFSU 37%

Adj. efficiency61%

39%

SRS58%

42%

Elo69%

31%

MIA +0.0

Proj. margin

162.8

Proj. total

73.2

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 55A.LewisG · 4.3 APG10.3
• 7S.HendersonF · 6.3 RPG13.3
• 11C.Gaskins4.7 RPG9.0
• 2S.CyrilC · 1.3 BPG10.7
• 5M.ReneauF · 4.3 RPG11.0

• 22S.RancikF · 4.0 RPG22.0
• 1S.AbaevG · 4.3 APG12.0
• 2A.Robinson IIG · 3.3 APG13.7
• 3K.TaylorG · 2.3 APG13.3
• 11M.Ponder8.0 RPG9.7

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+21.2Adj. net rating+12.9

33rdAdj. net rank67th

121.5Adj. offense118.0

100.3Adj. defense105.1

73.2Pace73.2

11.1SRS5.8

1986Elo1851

2–1Record2–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games

79.7Points91.7

61.7Opp points72.7

48.3%eFG%52.6%

16.0%TO%14.0%

31.4%OREB%34.4%

.31FT rate.48

31%3PA rate38%

47%Assisted FG%45%

Last five games

Miami

W89-51vs UNF

W83-57vs WAG

L67-77@ FLA

L69-79@ PUR

W80-66vs MIZ

Florida State

L72-81vs FLA

W91-68vs TROY

W112-69vs FAMU

L79-80@ DUKE

W95-89vs CAL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MIA 83 · FSU 73Tue, 2/24

25-26FSU 65 · MIA 63Tue, 1/20

24-25MIA 66 · FSU 74Wed, 2/19

24-25FSU 80 · MIA 65Wed, 1/8

23-24MIA 75 · FSU 83Sat, 3/9

23-24FSU 84 · MIA 75Wed, 1/17

22-23FSU 85 · MIA 84Sat, 2/25

22-23MIA 86 · FSU 63Tue, 1/24

21-22FSU 61 · MIA 60Sat, 1/22

21-22MIA 64 · FSU 65Tue, 1/11

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · 2:00 PM ET

VenueTucker Center · Tallahassee, FL

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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