Wolfpack vs Cavaliers

Gameday · SAT MAR 6

NC StateVSVirginiaAP #6

Tip-off in

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––Hrs

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Tip12:00 PM ET

WatchCW

LineNot posted

John Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

Win probability

1912 blend

24% NCSUUVA 76%

Adj. efficiency25%

75%

SRS25%

75%

Elo20%

80%

UVA +5.1

Proj. margin

156.2

Proj. total

69.8

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 0P.EdmeadG · 6.3 APG12.0
• 2P.McNeil Jr.G · 1.0 APG13.0
• 22V.LubinF · 8.3 RPG15.3
• 11D.AdamsG · 3.3 APG10.3
• 14K.EvansF · 4.7 RPG5.0

• 5S.LewisG · 2.3 APG15.0
• 17J.GrunlohC · 2.8 BPG13.0
• 1C.MalloryG · 5.0 APG14.8
• 28T.RidderF · 8.3 RPG17.8
• 22N.Adekunle3.0 RPG8.8

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+20.7Adj. net rating+26.8

34thAdj. net rank18th

124.1Adj. offense123.3

103.4Adj. defense96.5

67.2Pace72.5

9.4SRS13.8

1868Elo2107

3–0Record4–0

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 4 games

84.7Points93.0

62.3Opp points66.3

58.3%eFG%58.1%

17.0%TO%17.0%

32.5%OREB%38.6%

.25FT rate.28

45%3PA rate47%

61%Assisted FG%67%

Last five games

NC State

W94-60vs PRES

W77-63vs ETSU

W83-64vs CAM

L66-68vs TEX

L74-81@ UVA

Virginia

W95-61vs BUCK

W91-72vs ARK

W97-72vs NE

W89-60vs DREX

L72-79vs TENN

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26NCSU 74 · UVA 81Thu, 3/12

25-26NCSU 61 · UVA 90Tue, 2/24

25-26UVA 76 · NCSU 61Sat, 1/3

24-25NCSU 67 · UVA 70Tue, 12/31

23-24NCSU 73 · UVA 65Fri, 3/15

23-24NCSU 53 · UVA 59Wed, 1/24

23-24UVA 60 · NCSU 76Sat, 1/6

22-23NCSU 50 · UVA 63Tue, 2/7

21-22UVA 63 · NCSU 77Sat, 1/22

20-21NCSU 68 · UVA 61Wed, 2/24

Game information

TipSaturday, Mar 6 · 12:00 PM ET

VenueJohn Paul Jones Arena · Charlottesville, VA

WatchCW

Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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