Wildcats vs Terrapins

Gameday · SUN MAR 7

NorthwesternVSMaryland

Tip-off in

––Days

––Hrs

––Min

––Sec

Tip1:00 PM ET

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LineNot posted

XFINITY Center · College Park, MD

Win probability

1912 blend

66% NUMD 34%

Adj. efficiency64%

36%

SRS61%

39%

Elo73%

27%

NU +0.5

Proj. margin

146.3

Proj. total

66.5

Proj. pace

Home court counts 3 points. Blend of Adj. efficiency, SRS and Elo.

Projected starters

PPG

• 44A.CiaravinoG · 1.7 APG11.7
• 4L.PrattG · 2.3 APG18.3
• 3J.WestG · 8.7 APG21.3
• 8O.FederikoF · 3.3 RPG3.3
• 7C.SmithF · 1.0 RPG3.0

• 21P.PayneF · 7.0 RPG20.5
• 2D.WagnerG · 3.0 APG10.5
• 7A.MillsG · 1.0 APG15.5
• 20M.McNair Jr.G · 1.0 APG3.0
• 23T.BuljanF · 8.5 RPG7.0

Ratings

CBBD · 2025-26

+13.7Adj. net rating+3.2

60thAdj. net rank131st

117.6Adj. offense110.8

103.9Adj. defense107.6

63.2Pace69.8

4.1SRS-1.9

1809Elo1640

3–0Record1–1

Season per game

2026-27 · 3 games / 2026-27 · 2 games

78.7Points85.0

60.0Opp points76.5

57.8%eFG%48.1%

13.0%TO%19.0%

28.6%OREB%51.6%

.35FT rate.41

48%3PA rate36%

64%Assisted FG%33%

Last five games

Northwestern

W72-55vs BU

W78-65vs STBK

W86-60vs BING

L68-81@ PUR

W74-61@ IU

Maryland

L74-86@ GTWN

W96-67vs BUCK

L64-75@ IOWA

W70-60@ ORE

L72-78vs ILL

Head to head

Last 10 · 2017-18–2026-27

25-26MD 74 · NU 78Wed, 2/18

24-25NU 61 · MD 74Sat, 3/8

24-25MD 74 · NU 76Thu, 1/16

23-24NU 68 · MD 61Wed, 2/28

23-24MD 69 · NU 72Wed, 1/17

22-23NU 59 · MD 75Sun, 2/26

21-22MD 94 · NU 87Wed, 1/12

21-22NU 67 · MD 61Sun, 12/5

20-21MD 55 · NU 60Wed, 3/3

19-20NU 67 · MD 76Tue, 2/18

Game information

TipSunday, Mar 7 · 1:00 PM ET

VenueXFINITY Center · College Park, MD

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Abbreviations

Adj.Adjusted — points scored or allowed per 100 possessions, corrected for the strength of the opponents faced. Net is offense minus defense

SRSSimple Rating System — average scoring margin, adjusted for strength of schedule

EloA rating that moves after every result, by more when the opponent was strong

PacePossessions per 40 minutes

PPGPoints per game

eFG%Effective field goal percentage — made threes count one and a half field goals

TO%Turnovers per 100 possessions

OREB%The share of a team's own missed shots it rebounds

FT rateFree throws attempted per field goal attempted

3PA rateThe share of field goal attempts taken from three

Scores, plays and box from CollegeBasketballData

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